Monday, March 31, 2014

a secret revealed about the eharmony-blog???


https://twitter.com/eharmonyblog
https://www.facebook.com/eharmonyblog/info
The Unofficial, comprehensive and commercial-free guide to eHarmony with news, opinion, discussions and advice, now closed, but it was owned by eHarmony Inc.? Today closed eHarmony Brazilian site.

Remember the "secret sauce"

ZALANDO IPO late 2014 or early 2015?

Just reading this new article at Venture Village about ZALANDO IPO late 2014 or early 2015.


"The company now employs over 5,000 employees and had €1.8 billion in turnover in 2013 – up by more than 50%. Financial experts believe that we can expect an IPO either at the end of 2014 or latest by early 2015"

Also reading the "Konzernabschluss zum Geschäftsjahr vom 01.01.2012 bis zum 31.12.2012"
Jahresfehlbetrag means net loss and TEUR or TEURO means Million (Tausend) thousand of Euros.
e.g: Jahresfehlbetrag TEUR 4.000 or TEURO 4,000 means Net Loss of Euro 4 Million.
(sometimes they use the (.) dot or (,) comma to separate thousands)

Full information is available from:
https://www.bundesanzeiger.de/ebanzwww/wexsservlet
and then search for Zalando to see by your own!

Please read also:
ZALANDO 2012 balance
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/02/zalando-2012-balance.html

Seven Balance Sheets Rocket Internet clone empire and companies
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/02/seven-balance-sheets-rocket-internet.html

More Juicy Information from Affinitas GmbH. balance report
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/02/more-juicy-information-from-affinitas.html

Some days ago, a Journalist from the Wall Street Journal, talking about the "famous Samwer bros. clone empire", said: "Start-up companies in general aren't profitable but hope to be at one stage."
I replied: That is exactly the problem. Their start-up companies are not designed to be profitable, and as they are copycats of U.S. companies, the main purpose is to be sold to the original company they had copycatted OR if they fail to do so, to plan the IPO in order to recover the money they had invested!.
They always make unrealistic projections of sales: "For the Brazilian Amazon clone Linio the Samwers offer a return of 12 percent in 2017. The Amazon model generates 1.1 percent."
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/02/secret-papers-how-samwer-bros-woo.html
I suspect no one of the cloned companies by Samwer Bros. are really profitable or sustainable for the next 5 years, to until 2019 at least; and as they will not be able to sell to the original company they had copycatted, as they failed to sell Affinitas GmbH. to eHarmony Inc. last March 2012 and as the Management Team can not innovate in nothing because they are not entrepreneurs, they will collapse. All cloned companies seem like bubbles.

This article from August 2012, talks about " startup losses of under €250 Million for their first three years of operation."
http://venturevillage.eu/rocket-internet-millicom

Please see by your own Rocket Internet Ventures in Brazil
ClickBus   http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/clickbus.com.br
Dafiti http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/dafiti.com.br
CupoNation http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/cuponation.com.br
Airu http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/airu.com.br
HelloFood http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/hellofood.com.br  (called FoodPanda in other countries)
EasyTaxi http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/easytaxi.com operating also in several countries
Kanui http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/kanui.com.br
Tricae  http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/tricae.com.br
Mobly http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/mobly.com.br
PayLeven http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/payleven.com.br
ZocPrint http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/zocprint.com.br
WestWing http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/westwing.com.br
Wimdu http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/wimdu.com.br
21diamonds http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/21diamonds.com.br
BlueCircle http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/bluecircle.com.br
GlossyBox, closed last year.  http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/glossybox.com.br
YepDoc ( closed? ) http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/yepdoc.com.br
DropGifts ( closed? ) http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/dropgifts.com.br

Who is paying all that fest? AB Kinnevik ?
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/02/about-kinneviks-holdings.html


Not sure about companies founded and funded by Global Founders Capital. Perhaps some Journalists can investigate further.

TeAmoRU morphing to a more casual online dating site?

It seems TeAmoRU is morphing to a more casual online dating site.
http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/teamo.ru

It started as a copycat of eHarmony in Russia. Last march 2012, received funds from the Japanese.

I reviewed it last September 2011














and then in June 2012 it received major redesign.










MatchWise, Chemistry, PlentyOfFish Chemistry Predictor, eVow, TeAmoRU  and other sites use/used the Birth Order Item, but it is useless at all for Serious Online Dating!


TeAmorRU uses the Big Five normative test to measure personality of its members, but ..... The Big Five normative test  had been proven/revealed as an incomplete and incorrect model to assess/measure personality of persons!


With less than USD10 Million you can copycat eHarmony
or
 innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry, killing those old & obsolete sites forever because they are HOAXES based on a Big Scientific FRAUD.


Saturday, March 29, 2014

Legislation slowly coming

U.S.A. Minnesota Senator Introduced Bill To Protect Users' Privacy On Mobiles
REMEMBER mobile concept evolving, meaning tablets with Wi-Fi Network access and not smartphones.

Imagine a NEW Legislation for Online Dating Sites to force them disclose how many active members they have (Premium members: paid or with gift subscriptions) ?
And also force them to conduct ID verification ? A variety of new laws, or new interpretations of existing laws, could subject dating sites to claims or otherwise harm their business. (extracted from IAC SEC filing)

Friday, March 28, 2014

French version of EliteSingles Canada says




4000 nouveaux inscrits par jour == 4000 new registrations per day
Rejoignent nos plateformes ELITESINGLES, avec une répartition moyenne de 43 % d'hommes et 57 % de femmes
Join our platforms ELITESINGLES, with an average allocation of 43% men and 57% women

BUT English version says "4000 new registrations per WEEK" and not DAY

MISTAKES HAD BEEN CORRECTED 1ST APRIL 2014

Please see also:
http://myip.ms/info/whois/62.138.116.112/k/2850421139/website/elitesingles.ca

http://reviews.gcoupon.com/info/whois/elitesingles.ca
http://reviews.gcoupon.com/view/whois_lookup/2277301/elitesingles_ca.html

ANOTHER HOAX "Pheromone Parties"

ANOTHER HOAX "Pheromone Parties"
On "Pheromone Parties" People Are Matched By Dirty T-shirts
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-26751949


They now offer the same as Basisnote, GenePartner, ScientificMatch and other proposals offering DNA matching which are only based on the T_shirt Experiment that only proved:
normally cycling women (not pregnant and not taking contraceptive pills) are (temporarily) attracted by the perspiration scent of clothes used by men with a Major Histocompatibility Complex MHC more dissimilar to theirs,

and not proved: women attracted by those men for long term mating with commitment.
and
2 Scientific Papers debunk their claims.
1) "Human oestrus" Gangestad & Thornhill (2008)
"Only short-term but not long-term partner preferences tend to vary with the menstrual cycle"

2) "Does the contraceptive pill alter mate choice in humans?" Alvergne & Lummaa (2009)
".. whereas normally cycling women express a preference for MHC (Major Histocompatibility Complex) dissimilarity in mates, pill users prefer odours of MHC-SIMILAR men, indicating that pill use might eliminate adaptive preferences for genetic dissimilarity."
................
"...., Roberts et al. attempted to eliminate these potential confounds by adopting a within-subject design in which women's mate preferences were assessed before and after they began taking the pill. Women starting the pill showed a significant preference shift towards MHC SIMILARITY compared with three months before the pill was taken, a shift that was not observed in the control group of normally cycling women." 

Please remember personality = temperament + character
Personality is composed of two basic types of traits:
traits that an individual acquires, dimensions of character;
and
traits with biological underpinnings, dimensions of temperament (Cloninger 1987)


The key to long-lasting romance is STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY
-------------------------------------------------
ScientificMatch, Basisnote, Genepartner (LittleHint) y los que ofrecen DNA matching, son un fraude porque están basados en el experimento de la remera sudada (T-shirt experiment) donde un grupo de mujeres calificaban olores a sudor de varones como atractivos, neutros o repulsivos. En algunos casos las mujeres se sentían atraídas por el olor a sudor de un varón que tuviera un Complejo Principal de Histocompatibilidad (MHC) lo más diferente al de ellas (no atraídas por el varón, sino por el olor a sudor del varón impregnado en una camiseta) Fue refutado por Alvergne & Lummaa en "Does the contraceptive pill alter mate choice in humans?" 2009 Las mujeres que tienen sus períodos en forma normal presentan preferencias de selección de pareja de corto (en la fase ovulatoria) y largo plazo; mientras que las mujeres que usan tratamientos anticonceptivos hormonales (que simulan la concentración de hormonas del embarazo), anulan su preferencia de selección de pareja de corto plazo, buscan pareja estable, eligen compañeros similares a ellas en MHC

Affinitas GmbH. launched EliteSingles Canada



Just seen Affinitas GmbH. launched EliteSingles Canada English and French versions. (It seems next will be South Africa) It also seems to be a copycat of eHarmony Inc.  eHarmony is a 13+ years old obsolete site and a HOAX, based on a big scientific fraud.


- Which personality test do they use to assess personality of daters?
The Big Five normative test that had been proven/revealed as an incomplete and incorrect model to assess/measure personality of persons?
The Big Five normative test had been replaced by HEXACO or Big Six test.

- Are they using the correct norm for the test?
Please remember normative tests can not simply be translated, because they need the norm for that test, and that norm is actualized each and every time Census Figures are released and the cost of doing that is in the range of USD100,000 per language and norm.

All normative tests like Big Five, HEXACO, 16PF5 to assess/measure personality should be used with the correct norm. e.g:
* English for the United Kingdom and the Norm for the United Kingdom (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of the United Kingdom).
* English for Ireland and the Norm for Ireland (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of Ireland).
* English for Australia and the Norm for Australia (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of Australia).
* English for New Zealand and the Norm for New Zealand (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of New Zealand)
* English for Canada and the Norm for Canada (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of Canada).
* English for South Africa and the Norm for South Africa (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of South Africa).
* English for United States and the Norm for United States (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of United States)
* French for France and the Norm for France (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of France).
* French for Canada and the Norm for Canada (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of Canada).
* German for Germany and the Norm for Germany (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of Germany).
* Spanish for Spain and the Norm for Spain (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of Spain).
* Italian for Italy and the Norm for Italy (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of Italy).
* Portuguese for Portugal and the Norm for Portugal (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of Portugal).
* Portuguese for Brazil and the Norm for Brazil (sample of individuals with the same demographic characteristics of Brazil).
etc, etc

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Good Bye eHarmony Brazil!

How much money had eHarmony Inc. lost in Brazil?
Started:
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2010/08/eharmony-do-brasil-eharmony-brazil.html

Will end this 31st March 2014:
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/03/eharmony-brazil-game-over.html


eHarmony is a 13+ years old obsolete site and a HOAX, based on a big scientific fraud.
As GlossyBox, and others, Managing Directors do not understand the Latin American Market!
 http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/11/glossybox-some-international-branches.html


With less than USD10 Million you can copycat eHarmony
or
 innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry, killing those old & obsolete sites forever because they are HOAXES based on a Big Scientific FRAUD.

NEW PAPERS Recommender Systems / Recommendation Engines - 2014









Just seen a new bunch of papers about Recommender Systems / Recommendation Engines - 2014
like:
- An Effective Two-Phase Collaborative Filtering Algorithm for Recommender Systems
- Flexible Dynamic Recommender System
- Application domain of recommender system:a survey
- An Improved Content-based Recommendation Method Through Collaborative Predictions and Fuzzy Similarity Measures
- Someato: characterizing and exploiting behavior and interests of users in social media
- Comparing the Staples in Latent Factor Models for Recommender Systems
- An Adaptive Recommendation Method Based on Small-World Implicit Trust Network
- Using Dynamically Promoted Experts for Music Recommendation
- Improving Collaborative Filtering Based Recommender Systems Using Pareto Dominance

I had contacted some of those authors to tell them:
Do you know that Personality Based Recommender Systems are the next generation of recommender systems because they perform far better than Behavioural ones (past actions and pattern of personal preferences)?
That is the only way to improve recommender systems, to include the personality traits of their users. They need to calculate personality similarity between users but there are different formulas to calculate similarity. In case you had not noticed, recommender systems are morphing to .......... compatibility matching engines, as the same used in the Online Dating Industry since years, with low success rates until now because they mostly use the BIG 5 to assess personality and the Pearson correlation coefficient to calculate similarity.
The BIG 5 (Big Five) normative personality test is obsolete. The HEXACO (a.k.a. Big Six) is another oversimplification. Online Dating sites have very big databases, in the range of 20,000,000 (twenty million) profiles, so the BIG 5 model or the HEXACO model are not enough for predictive purposes. That is why I suggest the 16PF5 test instead and another method to calculate similarity. I calculate similarity in personality patterns with (a proprietary) pattern recognition by correlation method. It takes into account the score and the trend to score of any pattern. Also it takes into account women under hormonal treatment because several studies showed contraceptive pills users make different mate choices, on average, compared to non-users. "Only short-term but not long-term partner preferences tend to vary with the menstrual cycle".

If you want to be first in the "personalization arena" == Personality Based Recommender Systems, you should understand the ............ Online Dating Industry first of all!

Please see my own project at:
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/06/the-next-wave-of-innovation.html

------------------------------------------------------------
Please read also:
A new plague: online dating startups!!!
A new plague: compatibility matching engines.
More PLAGUE of rubbish recommender systems 2012.

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

big data dating IS NOT the key to long-lasting romance

I strongly agree with the article at BBC News: Is big data dating the key to long-lasting romance? Because big data dating IS NOT the key to long-lasting romance. Compatibility is all about a high level on personality similarity between prospective mates for long term mating with commitment.

The key to long-lasting romance is STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY and not "meet other people with similar interests".


The article talks about:
OKCupid
Synapse from Match
Facebook
The paper "Recommendation in reciprocal and bipartite social networks - a case study of online dating"


Please remember: Behavioural Recommender Systems CAN NOT outperform compatibility matching engines based on personality similarity. Several times I had written about punches to behavioural matching algorithms like the one used at Match, the one used at Zoosk, and the one used at PlentyOfFish (POF).
Behavioural recommender systems or other system that learns your preferences are useless for serious online dating purposes and Personality Based Recommender Systems are the next generation of recommender systems because they perform far better than Behavioural ones (past actions and pattern of personal preferences)
That is the only way to improve recommender systems, to include the personality traits of their users. They need to calculate personality similarity between users.
 

The Online Dating Industry needs Innovations, but the innovations the Online Dating Industry needs will come from only one source: the latest discoveries in theories of romantic relationships development with commitment.

Do you want to innovate in the Online Dating Industry?
Read: The 8 tips to innovate in the Online Dating Industry 2014!  

A 'Crisis' in Online Ads: One-Third of Traffic Is Bogus ?

Just read that article at Wall Street Journal.

In Latin American countries it is customary to use the Mozilla Firefox  internet browser with Ad-Block Plus Addon, so persons never see ads!

Australia Digital Future in Focus 2014 (comScore Report)

https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Presentations_and_Whitepapers/2014/Australia_Digital_Future_in_Focus_2014









U.S.A. is no longer center of the digital world.  China now has world’s largest desktop user base.
Some info is also valid for Latin American countries.

In Latin American countries it is customary to use the Mozilla Firefox  internet browser with Ad-Block Plus Addon, so persons never see ads!

Latin American users are continually deleting cookies, manually or automatically, and that practice makes overstimate online audiencies by a 2.5 factor!

Also accidental clicks on ads = false positives
Mobile & Multi-Platform: With the availability of smartphones and tablets, the multi-platform omnivore has emerged. But, it’s not a zero-sum game: More devices result in more time on all devices, including TV. See the Incremental and the Cannibalizing behavior.

Please read also:
* comScore 2013 Argentina Digital Future in Focus
* Internet Trends report 2013 from KPCB
* mobile applications adoption rate
* Mobile Operators' Business Models
* "The Mobile Digital Omnivore" from ComScore UK
* Full Webinar and some slides LATAM Digital Future 2013
* 2013 Latin America Digital Future in Focus Report by comScore