Thursday, January 29, 2015

What I "learned" at iDate 2015 Superconference

THEY DO NOT WANT TO INNOVATE. Only that.

http://www.onlinepersonalswatch.com/news/2015/01/15-things-i-learned-at-idate.html
http://globaldatinginsights.com/28012015-8-things-we-learned-at-idate-2015/

Year over year regurgitating the same statistics, talking the same rubbish.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/09/26-tips-from-idate-2014-cologne-germany.html
Lack Of Innovation & Decadence can summarize the Online Dating Industry 2014
C-Level executives are more worried about their golf scores than their company’s long term strategy and innovations.
C-level executives are cooking barbecues under the water (selling smoke) and not paying attention to latest research from Academics which could be beneficial for the Online Dating Industry.
Wasting precious time with Matchmakers which should be obsolete.
The Online Dating Industry needs to kill the Matchmaking Industry, like computers killed typewriters.
Worldwide there are less than 7 million paid members (adding up all the ones at eHarmony/EliteSingles/eDarling, Match, Chemistry, Meetic, MeeticAffinity, OkCupid, PeopleMedia’s Communities, PlentyOfFish, Parship/eCift, and others).


 "online dating" is a broad concept to define a large group of different proposals.
Social dating is vaporware.

http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/01/valuing-tinder-like-vc-article-at.html
http://www.businessinsider.com.au/tinder-co-founder-whitney-wolfe-and-bumble-2015-1

The Online Dating Industry does not need any improvement. It does need INNOVATIONS!
The key to long-lasting romance is STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY and not "meet other people with similar interests".


Please remember:
eHarmony, is a 14+ years old obsolete site and a HOAX, based on a big scientific fraud, only sustained by big marketing budget. The Big Five normative test that had been proven/revealed as an incomplete and incorrect model to assess/measure personality of persons.
The Big Five normative test had been replaced by HEXACO or Big Six test.


I had reviewed over 55 compatibility matching engines intended for serious dating since 2003, when I had discovered "the online dating sound barrier" problem.

The Online Dating Industry does not need a 10% improvement, a 50% improvement or a 100% improvement. It does need "a 100 times better improvement"

The Online Dating Industry needs a very powerful algorithm like the "Teller Ulam design". In this case 100 times more powerful than actual matching algorithms.

With less than USD10 Million you can copycat eHarmony 
or
 innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry, killing those old & obsolete sites forever.

 

 

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Valuing Tinder like a VC? article at Seeking Alpha

http://seekingalpha.com/article/2852596-iac-interactive-corp-unlocking-the-value-of-tinder-a-vc-valuation-exercise?
How much money will you need to destroy Tinder forever launching an improved copycat of it? Like Facebook destroyed MySpace during 2009.
Less than USD100 million, but that is done, it is Bumble (backed by Badoo).

At the "mobile dating apps U.S. Market Share by Session" graph I do dot see data from PentyOfFish (aka POF) and Badoo, or MeetMe (MEET) Something is wrong there.

It is a shrinking market.
Like Microsoft Encarta cannibalized Encyclopedia Britannica.
Then years later, Wikipedia destroyed Microsoft Encarta.

Have you seen the annual revenue of Match, Chemistry, OkCupid, Meetic, and other IAC's (nasdaq: IACI) online dating sites excluding Tinder? In the range of USD 800 Million with profits. The prospective revenue of Tinder is no more than USD 100 million because it will not outperform Badoo. As a social discovery site, Tinder, could make no profit at all, like Zoosk! (pending: ZSK)


Recently, Badoo backed Bumble (by former employees of Tinder) in order to compete with Tinder.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/01/topeka-capital-sees-ad-potential-in.html
The mission of Tinder was to destroy Badoo, Zoosk, HowAboutWe, Spark Networks' sites, Snap Interactive's sites and others similar to them (social dating, social discovery)
Tinder failed in that mission and now is destroying Match (cannibalizing it from inside)

http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/11/why-tinder-can-drive-upside-for.html


 "online dating" is a broad concept to define a large group of different proposals.
Social dating is vaporware.
The Online Dating Industry does not need any improvement. It does need INNOVATIONS!
The key to long-lasting romance is STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY and not "meet other people with similar interests".

Rocket Internet’s Asian Plans for 2015 ?

http://sdasia.co/2015/01/27/rocket-internets-plans-2015/

Goldman Sachs is the main puppeteer of ........ Rocket Internet AG. (For me it seems only a big Ponzi scheme, a big bubble full of dark smoke. I suspect no one of those companies are designed to be profitable ever. They have big losses because they sell below cost to gain traction. All cloned companies seem like bubbles)
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/07/dafiti-lost-euros-729-million-during.html http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/11/rocket-internet-ag-half1-2014.html http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/12/rocket-internet-ag-2014-milestones.html http://venturebeat.com/2015/01/19/rocket-internet-ceo-we-build-real-companies-work-for-google-if-you-like-sushi-and-comfy-chairs/

Rocket Internet AG. / All ventures are created using a complex system of shell companies. /
Jade, Juwel, Brillant, Bambino, Platin and others.
See Jade 1076. GmbH. and Jade 1085. GmbH. as sample
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/08/rocket-internet-ag-all-ventures-are.html
Secret papers: How the Samwer bros. woo investors.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/02/secret-papers-how-samwer-bros-woo.html
Some analysis and comments about "Frontal21-Doku: Die große Samwer-Show"
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/08/some-analysis-and-comments-about.html
Rocket Internet AG. Q2 2014 financials via AB Kinnevik
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/07/rocket-internet-ag-q2-2014-financials.html


They are full (in excess) of phantom companies, shell companies.
And not only they have lots of phantom companies, shell companies. There is a very complicated and intriguing interlace of them. (very suspicious situation)

There is a very intriguing interlace of "Jade xxxx GmbH.", "Brillant xxxx GmbH.", "Bambino xx V V UG", "VRB GmbH. & Co. B-xxx KG" and "Juwel xxx V V UG" and other companies !!!  

http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/04/a-very-complicated-interlace-of-jade.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/04/they-really-deserve-police.html 

Monday, January 26, 2015

Standard Article "Online dating" by Dr. Pepper Schwartz

Abstract
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/9781118896877.wbiehs317/abstract
Online dating has been around since the mid-1960s and has grown into a highly differentiated number of sites and businesses in many countries, including industrializing economies such as China and India. Sites uses a series of different algorithms to match people, and people can choose among boutique or huge sites, but all sites ask basic questions such as height, weight and age to use for matching. Safety concerns are real but manageable, and while finding a partner on line has become increasingly acceptable, many people find online dating hard, not rewarding, or just exhausting.

--------------------------------


Dr. Pepper Schwartz is/was the main braind behind PerfectMatch
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2010/04/perfectmatch-another-hoax.html

Please remember:
"online dating" is a broad concept to define a large group of different proposals. http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/10/article-does-online-dating-work-lets-be.html
 The Worldwide Online Dating Market 2014 / Spanish version / (full).(all link to pages in English)
  http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/12/the-worldwide-online-dating-market-2014.html  

  Online Dating Market full version 2013
  http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2012/11/online-dating-market-full-version-2013.html 

  http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2012/11/online-dating-market-full-version-2013_6.html
 http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2012/11/online-dating-market-full-version-2013_7.html   

The key to long-lasting romance is STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY and not "meet other people with similar interests".
WorldWide, there are over 5,000 -five thousand- online dating sites
but no one is using the 16PF5 (or similar) to assess personality of its members!
but no one calculates similarity with a quantized pattern comparison method!
but no one can show Compatibility Distribution Curves to each and every of its members!
but no one is scientifically proven!
No actual online dating site  is "scientifically proven" because no one can prove its matching algorithm can match prospective partners who will have more stable and satisfying relationships -and very low divorce rates- than couples matched by chance, astrological destiny, personal preferences, searching on one's own, or other technique as the control group in a peer reviewed Scientific Paper for the majority (over 90%) of its members.
 

The only way to revolutionize the Online Dating Industry is using the 16PF5 normative personality test, available in different languages to assess personality of members, or a proprietary test with exactly the same traits of the 16PF5 and expressing compatibility with eight decimals (needs a quantized pattern comparison method, part of pattern recognition by cross-correlation, to calculate similarity between prospective mates.)
High precision in matching algorithms is precisely the key to open the door and leave the infancy of compatibility testing.
It is all about achieving the eighth decimal!
With 8 decimals, you have more precision than any person could achieve by searching on one's own, but the only way to achieve the eighth decimal is using analysis and correlation with quantized patterns.
Without offering the NORMATIVE16PF5 (or similar test measuring exactly the 16 personality factors) for serious dating, it will be impossible to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry All other proposals are NOISE and perform as placebo. 


Please read "LIFEPROJECT METHOD versus eHARMONY"
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/05/lifeproject-method-versus-eharmony.html 

Friday, January 23, 2015

More Stupid Investors' series: The League

http://techcrunch.com/2015/01/22/investors-join-dating-app-the-league-with-2-1-million-seed-round/
Social dating is vaporware.
The Online Dating Industry does not need any improvement. It does need INNOVATIONS!
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/12/global-dating-insights-2014-industry.html
Online Dating for serious daters does not need to be more social, it needs to be more effective/efficient. It needs to reduce the false positives problem.
Please read: The 8 tips to innovate in the Online Dating Industry!
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/12/the-8-tips-to-innovate-in-online-dating.html

WorldWide, there are over 5,000 -five thousand- online dating sites
but no one is using the 16PF5 (or similar) to assess personality of its members!
but no one calculates similarity with a quantized pattern comparison method!
but no one can show Compatibility Distribution Curves to each and every of its members!
but no one is scientifically proven!


http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/12/meetme-as-dying-whale.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/12/more-stupid-investors-series-hinge-and.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/10/dna-dating-site-singldout-raised.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/04/about-datelytics-new-social-dating.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/04/likebright-same-road-as-thecompleteme.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/09/the-power-of-word-of-mouth-killed-be2.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/04/likeit-thecompleteme-game-over-next.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2012/09/stupid-investors-series-perceptual.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2012/08/stupid-investor-series-today-tagged.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2012/04/stupid-investors-series-today-skout.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2012/03/stupid-investor-series-zoosk-deflating.html



Thursday, January 22, 2015

Uber IPO should FAIL.

It is only a Ponzi Scheme.

Unbelievable: Uber takes another USD1.6B in funding!
The on-demand car company, which has raised USD4B in two years, is also looking for yet another $600M!

http://vator.tv/news/2015-01-21-unbelievable-uber-takes-another-16b-in-funding
Uber has taken USD1.6 billion in a convertible debt round from Goldman Sachs.

and Goldman Sachs is the main puppeteer of ........ Rocket Internet AG. (
For me it seems only a big Ponzi scheme, a big bubble full of dark smoke. I suspect no one of those companies are designed to be profitable ever. They have big losses because they sell below cost to gain traction. All cloned companies seem like bubbles)
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/11/rocket-internet-ag-half1-2014.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/12/rocket-internet-ag-2014-milestones.html
http://venturebeat.com/2015/01/19/rocket-internet-ceo-we-build-real-companies-work-for-google-if-you-like-sushi-and-comfy-chairs/

Please see:
Article at Vator: The USD1B valuation club became super crowded in 2014 
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/01/article-at-vator-usd1b-valuation-club.html


Incredible! Uber raises ANOTHER USD1.2 billion round!
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/12/incredible-uber-raises-another-usd12.html
and wants more!

SCAMMERS & ONLINE DATING FRAUD 2015 TRENDS AND TACTICS, a GDI report

http://globaldatinginsights.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/GDI-WEB-4.pdf
http://globaldatinginsights.com/download-report-scammers-dating-fraud/


Interesting report but ..... remember:
The biggest scammers are not from Ghana or Nigeria. They are precisely marketing executives from big sites. They use credit card billing trickery.
Lack Of Innovation & Decadence can summarize the Online Dating Industry for years.

 
Please remember:

Channel 4 on Globals Personals (Whitelabel dating)
http://www.onlinepersonalswatch.com/news/2012/11/uk-global-personals-allegedly-uses-fake-profiles.html
http://www.channel4.com/news/fools-for-love-how-one-internet-dating-firm-dupes-clients

It says 13,000 + sites but .......
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/06/it-says-13000-sites-but.html

http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/06/entrepreneur-of-year-laundering-money.html

Ashley Madison: "The dispute began when Silva — who came to Toronto from Brazil — sued her former employer in 2012, alleging she seriously hurt her wrists and forearms typing up 1,000 "fake female profiles" over a few weeks for a new Portuguese-language version of the site."
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/01/lawsuit-against-dating-site-for-married.html

JDI Dating Fined USD616K For Fake Profiles
http://www.onlinepersonalswatch.com/news/2014/10/jdi-dating-fined-616k-for-fake-profiles.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/10/online-dating-scam-alert-jdi-dating.html

 
Facebook In Argentina Fined Over Fake Profiles 
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/12/facebook-in-argentina-fined-over-fake.html

BBC investigation over Cupid PLC
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-23409947
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-21366326
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-23425366
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/10/how-alexa-shows-bbc-of-london-uk.html
 

and

Match in USA
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/photos-posted-match-led-suicide-model-article-1.1527230
 

Evan Spencer, had said that despite the fact that anti-scammer technology is available, Match fail to use such things as face-recognition software – which would have discovered that her pictures were being used hundreds of times.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/11/bad-news-big-lawsuit-against-match.html
Last August 2011 when a U.S. Class Action Called Match a 'Scam' / More than 90% of potential dates are "phantoms," suit charged then Match had morphed its marketing campaign.


As usual, They can win in Court but they could be incinerated by Journalists or killed by power of word of mouth!

The Online Dating Industry is performing like the Pharmaceutical and Cosmetic Industry before the USA Food and Drug Administration was created. There is no/weak Legislation, no ID verification, low reliable background checks, no Quality Norms.
No one compatibility matching method is Scientifically Proven.
The entire Online Dating Industry for serious daters in 1st World Countries is a HOAX, performing as a Big Online Casino, with a low effectiveness/efficiency level of their matching algorithms (less than 10%). In the same range as searching by your own.

I live in a South American country and I am really astonished to see how online daters in "1st World" countries are really victims of human experimentation. No actual online dating site  is "scientifically proven" because no one can prove its matching algorithm can match prospective partners who will have more stable and satisfying relationships -and very low divorce rates- than couples matched by chance, astrological destiny, personal preferences, searching on one's own, or other technique as the control group in a peer reviewed Scientific Paper for the majority (over 90%) of its members.  The key to long-lasting romance is STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY and not "meet other people with similar interests".