Saturday, June 15, 2019

"Magic Lab's move will be interesting to watch" says analyst from Online Dating Industry


- Facebook dating isn't a serious threat at this time, Facebook is a great company that I'm very bullish on.
Fundamentally it's a great value and it has higher growth than all the other FAANGs, without sacrificing Free-Cash-Flow, and it has a fairly wide economic moat. That being said, trust in Facebook is low and dating, especially online, isn't something people like to openly discuss.
Here is an article about trust in Facebook.
The company has Instagram, but Match Group's top portfolio companies already offer Instagram, Spotify, Snapchat, and even Pinterest integration, so this isn't a unique value add.
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/consumer/trust-facebook-has-dropped-51-percent-cambridge-analytica-scandal-n867011
 

- Magic Lab's move will be interesting to watch, but Match Group also does a lot of internal incubation, the problem is taking these new enterprises and monetizing them. I'd want to see a filing or at least some statistics on the adoption of these services and what is leading their sales growth.

- One of the big weaknesses of Match Group is that Tinder is basically holding up the ship, and delivering almost all of its revenue growth.

- I would also like to point out that dating apps are a unique animal and have a lot in common with social media. The big draw to Tinder, Bumble, and Hinge has been a non-webpage based platform (offers some anonymity) and it's free to use. Someone looking to either hookup or date is likely going to maximize their presence and make profiles across multiple platforms vs exhibiting loyalty to one brand alone. Because of this, there isn't as much a substitution dynamic, as much as a series of compliments.

- Tinder benefits from its large user base and the vice element of dating that leads users to splurge on a cheap monthly premium package. Hinge & Bumble do this as well. That being said, they supplement this with ad servicing and partnerships, such as with Spotify and Snap, to help subsidize the costs of the service. Overall, I would love to learn more about Bumble, if & when it goes public, but I don't see it wiping out Tinder as long as users still feel the urge to play the daily swipe lottery!


The owner of dating app Bumble (Magic Lab) said it plans to spend USD100 Million
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/06/the-owner-of-dating-app-bumble-magic.html

Tinder co-founder’s lawsuit against Tinder parent company moves closer to a trial
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/06/tinder-co-founders-lawsuit-against.html

PAPER: Measuring the Impact of Online Personalisation: Past, Present and Future




https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S107158191930076X

NEW silly patent DETERMINING PERSONALITY PROFILES BASED ON ONLINE SOCIAL SPEECH
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/06/new-silly-patent-determining.html


----------------------------
Personality Based Recommender Systems are the next generation of recommender systems because they perform far better than Behavioural ones (past actions and pattern of personal preferences)
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/05/paper-beyond-personalization-research.html
 

That is the only way to improve recommender systems, to include the personality traits of their users.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2017/01/paper-comparative-study-of-people-to_14.html  

They need to calculate personality similarity between users but there are different formulas to calculate similarity.

In case you did not understand: Recommender systems are morphing to compatibility matching engines, as the same used in the Online Dating Industry for years, with low success rates until now because they mostly use the Big Five model to assess personality and the Pearson correlation coefficient to calculate similarity.
Please remember: Personality traits are highly stable in persons over 25 years old to 45 years old. 

The key to long-lasting romance: COMPATIBILITY is exactly STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY and not "meet other people with similar interests or political views".  

Which is the RIGHT approach to innovate in the Personality Based Recommender Systems Arena? 
The same approach to innovate in the Online Dating Industry == 16PF6 test or similar to assess personality traits and a new method to calculate similarity between quantized patterns.
 

Online Dating sites have very big databases, in the range of 20,000,000 (twenty million) profiles, so the Big Five model or the HEXACO model are not enough for predictive purposes. That is why I suggest the 16PF6 test instead and another method to calculate similarity.

Breaking "the online dating sound barrier" is to achieve at least:
3 most compatible persons in a 100,000 persons database.
12 most compatible persons in a 1,000,000 persons database.
48 most compatible persons in a 10,000,000 persons database.
100 times better than Compatibility Matching Algorithms used by actual online dating sites!

High precision in matching algorithms is precisely the key to open the door and leave the infancy of compatibility testing.


Without offering the NORMATIVE 16PF6 (or similar test measuring exactly the 16 personality factors) for serious dating, it will be impossible to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry.

Tinder co-founder’s lawsuit against Tinder parent company moves closer to a trial




https://www.theverge.com/2019/6/14/18678997/tinder-co-founders-lawsuit-trial

The owner of dating app Bumble (Magic Lab) said it plans to spend USD100 Million
creating an array of new dating apps, part of an expansion and revamp of the privately held holding company
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/06/the-owner-of-dating-app-bumble-magic.html

(.....) Demonstrates the Power of a Law Degree

http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/06/demonstrates-power-of-law-degree.html
 

The Tinder lawsuit is going to get nasty (part 2)
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2018/08/the-tinder-lawsuit-is-going-to-get.html

Experience Working with Business Moguls Influenced His Career
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/06/experience-working-with-business-moguls.html

Friday, June 14, 2019

Meet Group (NASDAQ:MEET) announces a USD 30 M



share repurchase program that expires at the end of 2021.

https://seekingalpha.com/news/3471506-meet-group-plus-3_8-percent-30m-buyback

Meet Group Monetization Of Explicit Live Cam Content Threatens App Store Revenues
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4270258-meet-group-monetization-explicit-live-cam-content-threatens-app-store-revenues

Meet Group refutes short-seller report
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3471543-meet-group-refutes-short-seller-report
 

Featured SA article: The Meet Group Has Lots Of Issues
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/06/featured-sa-article-meet-group-has-lots.html




The Meet Group (MEET) Investor Presentation - Slideshow / May 2019
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/05/the-meet-group-meet-investor.html

 

The owner of dating app Bumble (Magic Lab) said it plans to spend USD100 Million



creating an array of new dating apps, part of an expansion and revamp of the privately held holding company
https://www.wsj.com/articles/bumble-owner-facing-off-with-tinder-boosts-spending-11560532155

No IPO for Badoo and no IPO for Bumble?
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2018/03/no-ipo-for-badoo-and-no-ipo-for-bumble.html

Match, Bumble Evidence in IP Dispute to Remain Confidential
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/01/match-bumble-evidence-in-ip-dispute-to.html

NEW Controversial "research" from Badoo
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/06/new-controversial-research-from-badoo.html



---------------------------------------------
The key to long-lasting romance: COMPATIBILITY is exactly STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY and not "meet other people with similar interests or political views".  

Breaking "the online dating sound barrier" is to achieve at least:
3 most compatible persons in a 100,000 persons database.
12 most compatible persons in a 1,000,000 persons database.
48 most compatible persons in a 10,000,000 persons database.
100 times better than Compatibility Matching Algorithms used by actual online dating sites!


The Online Dating Industry needs INNOVATIONS, not more bells and whistles.
Lack Of Innovation & Decadence can summarize the Online Dating Industry.
C-Level executives are more worried about their golf scores than their company’s long term strategy and innovations.
C-level executives are cooking barbecues under the water (selling smoke) and not paying attention to latest research from Academics which could be beneficial for the Online Dating Industry.

High precision in matching algorithms is precisely the key to open the door and leave the infancy of compatibility testing.
Without offering the NORMATIVE 16PF6 (or similar test measuring exactly the 16 personality factors) for serious dating, it will be impossible to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry.

 

Online dating is still 'an exhausting, disappointing' experience ???




https://news.yahoo.com/coffee-meets-bagel-online-dating-tinder-150518478.html

Nearly 8 or 9 years and cannot take off!!! Only burning money from investors!!!
Stupid Investors' series: Today Coffee Meets Bagel (CMB)

http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/02/stupid-investors-series-today-coffee.html
CoffeeMeetsBagel (CMB) admits a data breach
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/02/coffeemeetsbagel-cmb-admits-data-breach.html


The USD 30 million offer was only as a joke, because Mark Cuban had no interest at all in CoffeeMeetsBagel.
He had previously invested in another online dating app (now defuncted) named Courtem (Feb 2015).
And now he invested in another online dating app, called Hater (Dec 2017).
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2017/12/inside-dating-app-haters-shark-tank.html

If CoffeeMeetsBagel (CMB) raises USD12M for international expansion and live events ?
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2018/05/if-coffeemeetsbagel-cmb-raises-usd12m.html


 
There is plenty of room for new players and plenty of room for innovations in the Online Dating Industry
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/05/is-market-of-love-saturated-in.html

The key to long-lasting romance: COMPATIBILITY is exactly STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY and not "meet other people with similar interests or political views".  

Breaking "the online dating sound barrier" is to achieve at least:
3 most compatible persons in a 100,000 persons database.
12 most compatible persons in a 1,000,000 persons database.
48 most compatible persons in a 10,000,000 persons database.
100 times better than Compatibility Matching Algorithms used by actual online dating sites!


The Online Dating Industry needs INNOVATIONS, not more bells and whistles.
Lack Of Innovation & Decadence can summarize the Online Dating Industry.
C-Level executives are more worried about their golf scores than their company’s long term strategy and innovations.
C-level executives are cooking barbecues under the water (selling smoke) and not paying attention to latest research from Academics which could be beneficial for the Online Dating Industry.

High precision in matching algorithms is precisely the key to open the door and leave the infancy of compatibility testing.
Without offering the NORMATIVE 16PF6 (or similar test measuring exactly the 16 personality factors) for serious dating, it will be impossible to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry.

Thursday, June 13, 2019

NEW silly patent DETERMINING PERSONALITY PROFILES BASED ON ONLINE SOCIAL SPEECH





https://patentimages.storage.googleapis.com/f7/ad/50/b626f1f3f7a09e/US20190163741A1.pdf

AGAIN the obsolete Big Five normative test.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2017/10/again-obsolete-big-five-normative-test.html

Finally the perfect dating algorithm? Of course NOT, Big Five test is OBSOLETE.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2017/02/finally-perfect-dating-algorithm-of.html
Chief Scientist At eHarmony Cavorts With The ... Facebook
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2018/01/about-chief-scientist-at-eharmony.html
My bet: He is copycatting WATSON IBM, in same manner as Dr. Galen Buckwalter did (Soulmates.ai), but Buckwalter used the HEXACO model of personality (BIG FIVE, or OCEAN is obsolete now)

 

Dr. Galen Buckwalter talks about the HEXACO model of personality (BIG FIVE, or OCEAN is obsolete now)
article: Why Brands Need to Understand Personalities in Order to Leverage AI’s Potential
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2017/08/article-why-brands-need-to-understand.html
AI, former eHarmony's Chief Scientist and PsyML (machine learning and big data)
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2017/05/ai-former-eharmonys-chief-scientist-and.html
Soulmates.ai launches to help brands find compatible influencers using AI
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2017/05/soulmatesai-launches-to-help-brands.html

 
eHarmony is investing in machine learning to make smarter matches???
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2018/04/eharmony-is-investing-in-machine.html


eHarmony is developing an A.I. feature
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/05/eharmony-is-developing-ai-feature.html
 


WOKE: Big Five normative test is OBSOLETE!!!
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/03/woke-big-five-normative-test-is-obsolete.html


  Scientists are studying your tweets, YouTube videos, Instagram posts. Is that ethical?
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/04/scientists-are-studying-your-tweets.html


Personality Based Recommender Systems are the next generation of recommender systems because they perform far better than Behavioural ones (past actions and pattern of personal preferences)
https://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com/2019/05/paper-beyond-personalization-research.html
 

That is the only way to improve recommender systems, to include the personality traits of their users.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2017/01/paper-comparative-study-of-people-to_14.html  

They need to calculate personality similarity between users but there are different formulas to calculate similarity.

In case you did not understand: Recommender systems are morphing to compatibility matching engines, as the same used in the Online Dating Industry for years, with low success rates until now because they mostly use the Big Five model to assess personality and the Pearson correlation coefficient to calculate similarity.
Please remember: Personality traits are highly stable in persons over 25 years old to 45 years old. 

The key to long-lasting romance: COMPATIBILITY is exactly STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY and not "meet other people with similar interests or political views".  

Which is the RIGHT approach to innovate in the Personality Based Recommender Systems Arena? 
The same approach to innovate in the Online Dating Industry == 16PF6 test or similar to assess personality traits and a new method to calculate similarity between quantized patterns.
 

Online Dating sites have very big databases, in the range of 20,000,000 (twenty million) profiles, so the Big Five model or the HEXACO model are not enough for predictive purposes. That is why I suggest the 16PF6 test instead and another method to calculate similarity.

Breaking "the online dating sound barrier" is to achieve at least:
3 most compatible persons in a 100,000 persons database.
12 most compatible persons in a 1,000,000 persons database.
48 most compatible persons in a 10,000,000 persons database.
100 times better than Compatibility Matching Algorithms used by actual online dating sites!

High precision in matching algorithms is precisely the key to open the door and leave the infancy of compatibility testing.


Without offering the NORMATIVE 16PF6 (or similar test measuring exactly the 16 personality factors) for serious dating, it will be impossible to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry.