Wednesday, October 27, 2010

IAC Q3 2010

Match is desperately buying traffic.
Singlesnet died.


IAC Personals has less than 2,000,000 subscribers.

The new IAC Q3 2010 says "Match" had nearly 1,818,000 paid subscribers but it really means [Match + Chemistry + NetClubEncuentro + Udate + PeopleMedia communities + SinglesNet + YahooPersonals].

I think it is a serious US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) fraud to use the word "Match" meaning IAC Personals.

More about Personality-based Recommender Systems

"... Corpus of Face Video Clips with Affective and Personality Metadata"

"... The corpus presented here has been compiled for the needs of our research work of affective and personality based user modeling in recommender systems.
.......

We had 52 students of a secondary school who participated in the experiment. The average age was 18.3 years (SD = 0.56). There were 15 males and 37 females.
........
4.1. Affective content based recommender system
Part of the presented corpus was used to develop and evaluate an affective user and item modeling approach in a content based recommender (CBR) system.
........
4.2. Personality based collaborative recommender system
Another part of the presented corpus was used in an experiment where we evaluated a novel
personality based user similarity measure for collabrative filtering
.
A well known drawback of collaborative filtering methods is the new user problem. It occurs when a new user joins the system and the system has little or no knowledge on the user’s preferences.
As the user similarity measures rely on explicit ratings given by the users, when there are little ratings available, the algorithm for finding similar users tend to give bad choices. Consecutively, the predicted ratings have low correlation with real ratings. In order to alleviate the new user problem we introduced an initial questionnaire to assess the personality of each user.
........
We constructed a user similarity measure as an Euclidian distance in the big five personality space.
(papers: Emotive and Personality Parameters in Multimedia Recommender Systems and Personality based user similarity measure for a collaborative recommender system)
.......

Statistical analysis showed that the proposed personality based user similarity measure yielded significantly better results than the rating based user similarity measure which makes it more suitable not only to alleviate the new user problem but also to use when the new user phase dies away.
........


4.3. Emotion detection from video clips
Part of our ongoing research work is the detection of emotion from face videoclips. Our goal is to develop a method for detecting emotions in users with two novel properties:
(i) the inclusion of personality parameters as features
and
(ii) detection in the valence-arousal-dominance (VAD) space (instead of the coarse space of basic
emotions).
........




The 2 WEAK POINTS are:
The Big 5 to assess personality of users
and
the age of the sample, they are too young persons (personality not consolidated yet)



Have you seen the next generation of recommender systems include normative personality traits?
That is the only way to improve recommender systems, to include the personality traits of their users.

Have you seen they need to calculate personality similarity between users?

Have you seen there are different formulas to calculate similarity?

In case you did not notice, recommender systems are morphing to .......... compatibility matching engines!!!

Monday, October 25, 2010

eHarmony Brazil can not take off.

It was launched 2 months ago, it offers a 3 months free membership, but eHarmony Brazil can not take off.

ParPerfeito, one of the biggest competitors in Brazil, is in decadence since January 2009.

DivinoAmor, for religious persons, has no traffic.

Why eHarmony Brazil can not take off?

Lack of local offices, local representatives?
Lack of a big marketing campaign?

Who knows???

Thursday, October 21, 2010

The NEW era of Personality Based Recommender Systems

Personality Based Recommender Systems include personality traits of their users and need to calculate personality similarity between them in order to make predictions (to recommend products or services)
Personality Based Recommender Systems perform better than Behavioural ones.

Personality Based Recommender Systems assess personality traits of their users in different ways, they can use questionnaires of quizzes, and then they need to calculate personality similarity.

There are several formulas to calculate similarity.

I have discussed some of them in previous posts:

Personality Based Recommender Systems


The PLAGUE of recommender systems

Recommender Systems and the Social Web

In these papers, they propose a NEW formula to calculate similarity

"Addressing the New User Problem with a Personality Based User Similarity Measure"

"Personality Based User Similarity Measure for a Collaborative Recommender System"
"We propose a novel approach for calculating the user similarity for collaborative filtering recommender systems that is based on the big five personality model .... we focus on memory-based (collaborative filtering recommenders) CF systems. CF recommenders are based on the presumption that when the similarity between two users is high both users will like similar items. The similarity measure is thus a crucial part of any CF system.
We propose to use a similarity measure that yields, for each user u, a list of close neighbours that have in common a similar emotive response pattern to content items. (it lowers the impact of the sparsity problem as the calculation of similarities does not depend on ratings.)

We evaluated the CF using three different user similarity measures:
(i) a standard, rating based measure (equation 8),
(ii) an Euclidian big five based measure (equation 9)
and
(iii) weighted Euclidian big five based measure (equation 10).


Focusing on the relevant items a classifier yields four groups:
(i) true positives (TP) are items that are relevant to the user and have been correctly classified as relevant,
(ii) true negatives (TN) are items that have been correctly classified as non relevant,
(iii) false positives (FP) are items that are non-relevant but have been misclassified as relevant
and (iv) false negatives (FN) are items that are relevant but have been misclassified as non relevant.

Precision P is the rate of truly relevant items among all the items classified as relevant by the CF system (equation 12)

The F measure combines precision and recall in a single numerical value (equation 14)

We performed an offline experiment of a memory based CF recommender system that relies on end users' personality parameters to determine the nearest neighbours, which is a crucial part of the recommending procedure. We compared four personality based similarity measures and two rating based similarity measures. The CF recommender system's performance results showed that the personality based measures were statistically equivalent or superior (the mean value of F was significantly higher) to the rating based measure.

In terms of mean values of P, R and F the big five based approaches performed better than the ratings based approaches. Table 4 & Figure 3 "


but guess, it is useless at all for serious dating proposals!!! It is not going to outperform actual compatibility Matching Methods based on personality profiling.
It will reach as low as 3 to 4 persons recommended -on average- per 1,000 persons screened, the same range as searching by your own, with high false positives.

You can also read:
"Improving the believability in the interaction of synthetic virtual agents: Towards Personality in Group Dynamics"

"Recommender System based on Personality Traits" 142 pages (Uses Big5)


page 24 describes Dating Systems

page 52
3.2.2 Modelling the prototype
In order to generate an effective recommendation, we propose a prototype of a Recommender System that is able to match users' similarities* (or dissimilarities) in Personality Traits.

*Those similarities could be measured considering the fine-grained (6 facets per each Big five dimension) or the coarse-grained (only the 5 dimensions of the Big Five) traits. Indeed, similarities may be measured considering a singular Personality Trait.

page 54
3.2.2.4 Similarity Function
The Similarity Function is in charge of computing the general ranking of facets or dimensions from vectors-ranking. The ranking is projected according to the Decision Module, and
this means that the decision process is projected by the designer of the Recommender System according to the set of traits that should be considered for the recommendation by similarity/
dissimilarity.

3.2.3 Approaches and Techniques
The prototype of our Recommender System was implemented according to the Nearest Neighbor approach. The Nearest Neighbor is an approach used in the Recommender System to optimize the problem of finding closest items to recommend.

(The matching was based on similarity of Personality Traits and the technique applied was the nearest neighbor.)

page 77
Other Scenarios for application of Recommender Systems
We present some other scenarios where we can apply Recommender Systems based on Psychological Traits.

Recommending soul-mate in Dating Systems
Recommender Systems based on Personality Traits applied to Dating Systems might be an
alternative for people who search for a compatible romantic mate. Dating Systems which use
psychological aspects to search for compatibility in the recommendations are more likely to
generate successful couples than traditional ones."


Book
"Recommender Systems based on Personality Traits:Could human psychological aspects influence the computer decision-making process?"



---------------------------------


"A new similarity measure for collaborative filtering to alleviate the new user cold-starting problem" (DOES NOT include personality traits)

"Collaborative filtering is one of the most successful and widely used methods of automated product recommendation in online stores. The most critical component of the method is the mechanism of finding similarities among users using product ratings data so that products can be recommended based on the similarities. The calculation of similarities has relied on traditional distance and vector similarity measures such as Pearson's correlation and cosine which, however, have been seldom questioned in terms of their effectiveness in the recommendation problem domain. This paper presents a new heuristic similarity measure"

Saturday, October 16, 2010

Hormonal birth control use and relationship jealousy

FRESH and NEW paper
Cobey, K. D., et al. "Hormonal birth control use and relationship jealousy: Evidence for estrogen dosage effects." Personality and Individual Differences (2010), doi:10.1016/j.paid.2010.09.012

".... this study supplements the existing literature which suggests that hormonal oral contraceptive pill use may influence female mate choice preferences and relationship dynamics. For example, evidence indicates that, relative to non-pill users, women on Combined oral contraceptives (COC) show no or weaker preferences for masculine faces and voices and a decreased preference for genetic dissimilarity in partners. It may be that pill-associated changes in preferences for masculinity and genetic dissimilarity are mediated not just by the absence of an estrus phase but also by COC ethinyl estradiol and progestin concentrations."

Please also read the post "Innovations: to take the 16PF5 test 3 times"

I think women will love a rational explanation of why they need to take the test 3 times.
A Marketing campaign should be incisive in this new discovery:
contraceptive hormonal methods alter mate choice in humans because only short-term but not long-term partner preferences tend to vary with the menstrual cycle.

Thursday, October 14, 2010

AmorEnLinea & OasisActive

There 2 FREE online dating sites (1.0 only search engines) getting some traction here, in some Latin American countries (Venezuela, Perú, México, Colombia, Chile and Argentina but NOT Brazil). The Spanish translation is excellent.

They share their databases, OasisActive and AmorEnLinea, both owned by the Australian 3H Group (the former owners of Match).
Those sites are 100% free, ads supported only.
3h Group also owns TataDate for the Chinese market.

It is quite intriguing, they are full of profiles of old persons (over 60 years old)
Those profiles seem to be REAL.
Here some screenshots:

Hinge’s CEO says dating isn’t something people should leave up to AI

 El CEO de Hinge asegura que la gente no debería dejar las citas en manos de la IA https://www.infobae.com/fortune/2025/06/27/el-ceo-de-hing...