Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Again "Good" Q2 2013 for IAC Personals, will wait and see Q3

The weak point is: they are relying much on Tinder, a Badoo clone for casual dating.
The unexploited Latin American Market remains enormous!




IAC Personals
Core, Meetic and Developing revenue for the current year period was USD116.1 million, USD54.8 million and USD23.4 million, respectively. (Compare with Q1 2013). Not sure if they plan to close Chemistry.

Core consists of Match in the United States, Chemistry and People Media.
Meetic consists of the publicly traded personals company Meetic S.A., excluding Twoo.
Developing includes OkCupid, DateHookup, Twoo and Match's international operations, excluding Meetic S.A.

"And Match continues to show the strength of our portfolio approach. Just look at the past few months. If you're in New York, LA, or any number of other cities, all you hear about is our newest product, Tinder, with rapid user growth domestically and growing momentum internationally. But the success of Tinder isn't cannibalizing Match. During the same period Tinder has been thriving, our Core business growth is accelerating. And a similar dynamic's been playing out with OkCupid over the last stretch of years. From year end 2009 through the end of Q2 2013, OkCupid increased its monthly active users by 250% (from an already significant base), while during the same period, Match increased core subscribers by a very healthy 60%. Services like Tinder and OkCupid acclimate new groups of people to meeting online. That meaningfully expands the market. And once people have used technology to meet other people, no matter what the service was they initially used, a barrier's been broken and they're more likely to do it again. Almost 50% of first time Match subscribers have previously used another service for meeting someone online. So the more people we can get to try these services, whether we own them or not, the more likely they are to use our other services. Of course, it's better when we own them, thus our multi-product approach.

And that's not to say these sites simply work as acquisition tools for our Core business. Far from it. As I mentioned on the last call, we're meaningfully increasing the contribution from these businesses. During the same period OkCupid grew monthly users 250%, it grew monthly revenue by 700%, and it's now a meaningful contributor to this business. Tinder is early stage, we're not monetizing it now, and we probably won't monetize it in earnest for a while, but I assure you if its growth continues and it truly takes hold, it's going to be a very valuable asset.

Up to now, the portfolio's been primarily a North American story, but we think it'll also work in other markets. As I mentioned last time, Twoo, which we bought in January, adds a second brand in Europe, and we'll likely add others. The same in Latin America. I really think we'll reach a point where everyone single will be using technology in some way to help them make romantic connections, and it's been proven time and again, really over the history of the internet, that this is one of the things people are willing to pay for online, even when there are free alternatives. So we're confident our multiple products, multiple price points, multiple business models and global reach are going to put us in an optimal position to keep capturing a big part of that expanding activity."


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The HEXACO model of personality structure

The HEXACO Model of Personality conceptualizes human personality in terms of six dimensions.

The HEXACO model of personality structure is a six-dimensional model of human personality that was created by Ashton and Lee based on findings from a series of lexical studies involving several European and Asian languages. The six factors, or dimensions, include Honesty-Humility (H), Emotionality (E), Extraversion (X), Agreeableness (A), Conscientiousness (C), and Openness to Experience (O)

The HEXACO model of personality is, of course, an oversimplification like the Big5 model, good enough to guidance/orientation purposes but not good enough for predictive purposes.
"Because the Big Five groups the more specific primary-level factors, feedback organized around the five Global Factor scales is more easily understood. For detailed feedback or predictive purposes, one should assess the more specific primary factors. Research has shown that more specific factors like the primary scales of the 16PF Questionnaire predict actual behavior better than the Big 5 Global Factors. For example, one extravert (a bold, fearless, high-energy type) may differ considerably from another (a sweet, warm, sensitive type), depending on the extraversion-related primary scale score patterns, so deeper analysis is typically warranted." Extracted from the 16PF5 Manual

Read also:
FIRO, CPI and 16PF5
The Swiss 16PT is NOT the same as the 16PF5 test

WorldWide, there are over 5,000 -five thousand- online dating sites
but no one is using the 16PF5 (or similar) to assess personality of its members!
but no one calculates similarity with a quantized pattern comparison method!
but no one can show Compatibility Distribution Curves to each and every of its members!
but no one is scientifically proven! The only way to revolutionize the Online Dating Industry is using the 16PF5 normative personality test, available in different languages to assess personality of members, or a proprietary test with exactly the same traits of the 16PF5 and expressing compatibility with eight decimals (needs a quantized pattern comparison method, part of pattern recognition by cross-correlation, to calculate similarity between prospective mates.)
High precision in matching algorithms is precisely the key to open the door and leave the infancy of compatibility testing.
It is all about achieving the eighth decimal!
With 8 decimals, you have more precision than any person could achieve by searching on one's own, but the only way to achieve the eighth decimal is using analysis and correlation with quantized patterns.

Without offering the NORMATIVE16PF5 (or similar test measuring exactly the 16 personality factors) for serious dating, it will be impossible to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry All other proposals are NOISE and perform as placebo.

The 3rd death of eHarmony Brazil!!!


 

eHarmony Brazil suffered its 3rd death!!! It was launched 3 long years ago, but the team never understood the Latin American market and culture! or perhaps they were more worried about their golf scores than their company's long term strategy and innovations.

eHarmony is not "scientifically proven" because eHarmony Labs had never proven eHarmony's matching algorithm can match prospective partners who will have more stable and satisfying relationships -and very low divorce rates- than couples matched by chance, astrological destiny, personal preferences, searching on one's own, or other technique as the control group in a peer reviewed Scientific Paper for the majority (over 90%) of eHarmony's members.
Moreover the entire Online Dating Industry for serious daters in 1st World Countries is a HOAX, performing as a Big Online Casino, with a low effectiveness/efficiency level of their matching algorithms (less than 10%), in the same range as searching by your own.

eHarmony's members are like gamblers in a Big Online Casino, the ones who can win are less than 10% of them.
The majority of eHarmony's members are not going to succeed. They are going to fail in reaching a long term monogamous relationship with commitment. Wasting time and money!

I had reviewed over 55 compatibility matching engines intended for serious dating since 2003, when I had discovered "the online dating sound barrier" problem. 10 years ago!


Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Tinder: Badoo clone, casual dating


Just reading again this 2 years old post where it is explained that "the OkCupid team signed a deal to stay on for a year and is focused building a Badoo clone that will get profiles via facebook to compete in " the casual dating / social dating space.

Tinder, dating application from IAC, for casual dating. "online dating" is a broad concept to define a large group of different proposals.
Social dating is vaporware. Online Dating for serious daters does not need to be more social, it needs to be more effective/efficient. It needs to reduce the false positives problem.
 

What will come after the Social Networking wave?
The Next Big Investment Opportunity on the Internet will be .... Personalization!
Personality Based Recommender Systems and Strict Personality Based Compatibility Matching Engines for serious Online Dating with the normative 16PF5 personality test.
 

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Zoosk: fake profiles or using pseudos ???



I suspect Zoosk  is full of fake profiles or using pseudos to attract prospective subscribers.

If Zoosk plans its IPO, I plan to denounce Zoosk at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for fraud. Zoosk's Scientific Matchmaking Service (ZSMS) is a HOAX.

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Please read also
fake profiles for online dating sites
Fake profiles at Wamba / part 1   
Fake profiles at Wamba / part 2  
Chemistry, using pseudos or fake profiles?

Badoo mysteries (part 1)
Badoo mysteries (part 2)
Badoo mysteries (part 3) 
Badoo Brazil / Badoo Brasil 


How to detect fake profiles in Argentina & Uruguay

3 big South American failed proposals. 

The White Label Dating enigma / part 3
The White Label Dating enigma / part 2
The White Label Dating enigma / part 1

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

PlentyOfFish (POF) imminent IPO ???


Cold Winter soon here, in South America.

Recently I had posted about "Zoosk imminent IPO ??? "

A little birdie from North America could not come to my window to talk, and he sent me an email instead saying "POF's IPO imminent as well as Zoosk's".  2 years long negotiations with the IAC, parent company of Match for nothing? The problem was the high price.

Zoosk, Badoo and other social dating sites

Zoosk and Badoo seem to be the only alive social dating sites, but they are only for casual dating, for instant gratification; not for serious dating. They are using dishonest tactics to attract prospective paid members.



Other social dating sites closed and wasted tons of money because social discovering / social dating is illusory/vaporware.
People do not pay for social discovering, for finding new friends, they will pay only for high effective compatibility matching.
See failed proposals like 






Behavioural matching from social dating is a complete waste of time, because behavioural matching can not outperform personality matching methods.  Now in 2013 I think C-Level executives from the Online Dating Industry do not want to innovate and offer a high effective/efficiency compatibility matching algorithm, because they are like burglars who are stealing the money of the daters, they scam daters with automatic rebilling trickery.





Hinge’s CEO says dating isn’t something people should leave up to AI

 El CEO de Hinge asegura que la gente no debería dejar las citas en manos de la IA https://www.infobae.com/fortune/2025/06/27/el-ceo-de-hing...