Sunday, June 1, 2014
Using Technology And Psychology To Make Better Matches
"new advances in psychology and technology can be leveraged to create a vastly more effective matchmaking algorithm!"
via Online Personals Watch.
I agree, although big data dating IS NOT the key to long-lasting romance.
Personality traits are highly stable in persons over 25 to 45 years old (the group of persons who could be most interested in serious online dating)
The key to long-lasting romance is STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY.
WorldWide, there are over 5,000 -five thousand- online dating sites
but no one is using the 16PF (or similar) to assess personality of its members!
but no one calculates similarity with a quantized pattern comparison method!
but no one can show Compatibility Distribution Curves to each and every of its members!
but no one is scientifically proven! No one can prove its matching algorithm can match prospective partners who will have more stable and satisfying relationships than couples matched by chance, astrological destiny, personal preferences, searching on one's own, or other technique as the control group in a peer_reviewed Scientific Paper for the majority (over 90%) of their members.
Actual online dating sites offering compatibility matching methods, when calculating compatibility between prospective mates, have less or at least the same precision as searching on one's own. [in the range of 3 or 4 persons compatible per 1,000 persons screened]
* That is because they use:
a) simplified versions of personality traits, instead of the 16PF5 or similar with the complete inventory (16 variables)
b) inadequate quantitative methods to calculate compatibility between prospective mates.
The Big Five normative personality test is obsolete, it has been proven as an incomplete and incorrect model of personality.
The HEXACO (a.k.a. Big Six) is another oversimplification. Online Dating sites have very big databases, in the range of 20,000,000 (twenty million) profiles, so the Big Five model or the HEXACO model are not enough for predictive purposes.
To solve that problem I propose:
1) the 16PF or similar normative personality test to measure personality of normal persons over 26 years old interested in serious dating.
No actual online dating site offering compatibility matching methods uses the 16PF5 normative test available in different languages.
2) a new quantitative method to calculate compatibility between prospective mates, based on quantized pattern comparison (part of pattern recognition by correlation) to achieve far more precision than searching on one's own [in the range of 3 persons compatible per 100,000 persons screened, 100 times more precise / more powerful than actual matching algorithms]
Several times I had challenged eHarmony's Team, Match's Team, even PlentyOfFish owners to launch a new compatibility (personality profiling) site, using the normative 16PF test or similar in different languages.
I had also challenged them to show Compatibility Distribution Curves to each and every of its members!
The Online Dating Industry does not need a 10% improvement, a 50% improvement or a 100% improvement. It does need "a 100 times better improvement", not 100% better, 100X better The Online Dating Industry needs a very powerful algorithm like the "Teller Ulam design".
In this case 100 times more powerful than actual matching algorithms.