LIFEPROJECT METHOD versus eHARMONY

http://es.scribd.com/doc/223672375/LPMvEHARMONY-pdf

   LPMvEHARMONY.pdf by Fernando Ardenghi

LIFEPROJECT METHOD versus eHARMONY

• eHarmony Inc. uses the normative Big Five test in its sites to measure personality of daters, but the Big Five model had been revealed as an incomplete and incorrect model to measure personality. Now it had been replaced by HEXACO test, a.k.a Big Six test. 
• LIFEPROJECT METHOD proposes the normative 16PF5 or 15FQ+ or similar test to measure personality of daters; the 16 personality traits proposed by Dr. Raymond Cattell.

• eHarmony Inc. says "99.7% of eHarmony's members will not be introduced to you", i.e. only 0.3% of members will be shown as a high compatible partner for you; that is the power of eHarmony's matching algorithm (the effectiveness/efficiency level of the matching algorithm). In the same range as searching by your own! Performing really as placebo.
• LIFEPROJECT METHOD is 100 times (not 100%) more powerful than eHarmony's  matching algorithm!

•  eHarmony Inc.'s matching algorithm in the range of 3 persons shown as high compatible per 1,000 persons screened; exactly in the same range as searching by your own! Performing really as placebo.
• http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2012/03/eharmony-revealed-its-secret-sauce.html
• LIFEPROJECT METHOD's matching algorithm in the range of 3 persons shown as high compatible per 100,000 persons screened! Not any improvement, really an innovation. 100X more powerful than eHarmony's matching algorithm or any other site.

• eHarmony is a 14 years old obsolete site and a HOAX based on a big scientific FRAUD, because the normative Big Five model to measure personality of daters had been proven/revealed as an incomplete and incorrect model to measure personality of daters. Now replaced by HEXACO test, a.k.a Big Six test.
• LIFEPROJECT METHOD proposes the normative 16PF5 or 15FQ+ or similar test to measure personality of daters.  That is the ONLY way to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry for serious daters.

The key to long-lasting romance is STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY.

WorldWide, there are over 5,000 -five thousand- online dating sites
but no one is using the 16PF5 (or similar) to assess personality of its members!
but no one calculates similarity with a quantized pattern comparison method!
but no one can show Compatibility Distribution Curves to each and every of its members!
but no one is scientifically proven!

The only way to revolutionize the Online Dating Industry is using the 16PF5 normative personality test, available in different languages to assess personality of members, or a proprietary test with exactly the same traits of the 16PF5 and expressing compatibility with eight decimals (needs a quantized pattern comparison method, part of pattern recognition by cross-correlation, to calculate similarity between prospective mates.)
High precision in matching algorithms is precisely the key to open the door and leave the infancy of compatibility testing.
It is all about achieving the eighth decimal!
With 8 decimals, you have more precision than any person could achieve by searching on one's own, but the only way to achieve the eighth decimal is using analysis and correlation with quantized patterns.
Without offering the NORMATIVE16PF5 (or similar test measuring exactly the 16 personality factors) for serious dating, it will be impossible to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry All other proposals are NOISE and perform as placebo.

The Online Dating Industry does not need a 10% improvement, a 50% improvement or a 100% improvement. It does need "a 100 times better improvement", not 100% better, 100X better The Online Dating Industry needs a very powerful algorithm like the "Teller Ulam design". In this case 100 times more powerful than actual matching algorithms.

---------------------------------------------------------------------- 

Please read: "Social media faces doubts after latest round of results ?"
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/05/social-media-faces-doubts-after-latest.html

What comes after the Social Networking wave?
The Next Big Investment Opportunity on the Internet will be .... Personalization!
Personality Based Recommender Systems and Strict Personality Based Compatibility Matching Engines for serious Online Dating with the normative 16PF5 personality test.

LIFEPROJECT METHOD: PROOF OF CONCEPT

The pattern 6.7.6.8.9.6.7.7.8.7.2.5.8.7.3.4
is 74.79865772% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
5.7.4.8.7.4.5.6.4.6.8.9.6.8.4.4

The pattern 6.7.6.8.9.6.7.7.8.7.2.5.8.7.3.4
is 92.55033557% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
7.7.6.8.8.7.6.5.8.7.4.5.7.7.3.4

The pattern 6.7.6.8.9.6.7.7.8.7.2.5.8.7.3.4
is 88.38926174% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
5.6.4.7.7.5.6.6.7.6.3.4.7.6.2.3

The pattern 6.7.6.8.9.6.7.7.8.7.2.5.8.7.3.4
is 87.58389262% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
7.8.6.9.9.7.8.8.9.8.5.6.9.8.4.5

 Big Five (aka OCEAN test, Big 5) has been proven as an incomplete and incorrect model of personality.
(revealed thanks to commingling analysis.)
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/12/how-big-five-big-5-normative.html

Remember: How to calculate personality similarity between users?
Short answer: the key is the ENSEMBLE!
(the whole set of different valid possibilities)

LIFEPROJECT METHOD, 100 TIMES BETTER THAN eHarmony 

NOT 100% better, 100 times better (100X), like the Teller–Ulam design for the Online Dating Industry.


Do you want to innovate in the Online Dating Industry?
Read: The 8 tips to innovate in the Online Dating Industry 2014!  
WorldWide, there are over 5,000 -five thousand- online dating sites
but no one is using the 16PF5 (or similar) to assess personality of its members!
but no one calculates similarity with a quantized pattern comparison method!
but no one can show Compatibility Distribution Curves to each and every of its members!
but no one is scientifically proven!  No actual online dating site  is "scientifically proven" because no one can prove its matching algorithm can match prospective partners who will have more stable and satisfying relationships -and very low divorce rates- than couples matched by chance, astrological destiny, personal preferences, searching on one's own, or other technique as the control group in a peer reviewed Scientific Paper for the majority (over 90%) of its members.

The only way to revolutionize the Online Dating Industry is using the 16PF5 normative personality test, available in different languages to assess personality of members, or a proprietary test with exactly the same traits of the 16PF5 and expressing compatibility with eight decimals (needs a quantized pattern comparison method, part of pattern recognition by cross-correlation, to calculate similarity between prospective mates.)
High precision in matching algorithms is precisely the key to open the door and leave the infancy of compatibility testing.
It is all about achieving the eighth decimal!
With 8 decimals, you have more precision than any person could achieve by searching on one's own, but the only way to achieve the eighth decimal is using analysis and correlation with quantized patterns.
Without offering the NORMATIVE16PF5 (or similar test measuring exactly the 16 personality factors) for serious dating, it will be impossible to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry All other proposals are NOISE and perform as placebo.

What comes after the Social Networking wave?
The Next Big Investment Opportunity on the Internet will be .... Personalization!
Personality Based Recommender Systems and Strict Personality Based Compatibility Matching Engines for serious Online Dating with the normative 16PF5 personality test.
The market remains enormous!!

LIFEPROJECT METHOD, 100 TIMES BETTER THAN eHarmony

NOT 100% better, 100 times better (100X), like the Teller–Ulam design for the Online Dating Industry.

What comes after the Social Networking wave?
The Next Big Investment Opportunity on the Internet will be .... Personalization!
Personality Based Recommender Systems and Strict Personality Based Compatibility Matching Engines for serious Online Dating with the normative 16PF5 personality test.
The market remains enormous!!

PAPER: "Introducing Docear's Research Paper Recommender System"

Docear's Research Paper Recommender System

"Docear does not only know which papers a researcher currently is reading but also which parts of an article he considers particularly important. This allows highly personalized recommendations."


Personality Based Recommender Systems are the next generation of recommender systems because they perform far better than Behavioural ones (past actions and pattern of personal preferences)
That is the only way to improve recommender systems, to include the personality traits of their users. They need to calculate personality similarity between users but there are different formulas to calculate similarity.
Recommender systems are morphing to ......... compatibility matching engines, as the same used in the Online Dating Industry since years, with low success rates, because they mostly use the Big5 to assess personality and the Pearson correlation coefficient to calculate similarity.
(Personality traits are highly stable in persons over 25 years old to 45 years old)
Which is the RIGHT approach to innovate in the Personality Based Recommender Systems Arena?
The same approach to innovate in the Online Dating Industry == 16PF5 test or similar to assess personality traits and a new method to calculate similarity between quantized patterns.


What comes after the Social Networking wave?
The Next Big Investment Opportunity on the Internet will be .... Personalization!
Personality Based Recommender Systems and Strict Personality Based Compatibility Matching Engines for serious Online Dating with the normative 16PF5 personality test.
The market remains enormous!!

Please read:
The next wave of innovation! 

EMPIRE 2013: Emotions and Personality in Personalized Services

The EMPIRE workshop attempted to provide some answers to the growing interest of the user modeling research community on the role of human factors, especially personality and emotions, on various aspects of user modeling.

1) Building Systems to Capture, Measure, and Use Emotions and Personality
2) Personality-Based Recommendation in e-Commerce
3) Relating Personality Types with User Preferences in Multiple Entertainment Domains
4) Exploring Relations between Personality and User Rating Behaviors
5) Design and Development of an empirical smiley-based (emoticons) affective instrument.
6) Personality and Social Context: Impact on Emotion Induction from Movies
http://ceur-ws.org/Vol-997/empire2013_proceedings.pdf
-------------------------------------------------

Personality Based Recommender Systems are the next generation of recommender systems because they perform far better than Behavioural ones (past actions and pattern of personal preferences)
That is the only way to improve recommender systems, to include the personality traits of their users. They need to calculate personality similarity between users but there are different formulas to calculate similarity.
Recommender systems are morphing to ......... compatibility matching engines, as the same used in the Online Dating Industry since years, with low success rates, because they mostly use the Big5 to assess personality and the Pearson correlation coefficient to calculate similarity.
(Personality traits are highly stable in persons over 25 years old to 45 years old)

Which is the RIGHT approach to innovate in the Personality Based Recommender Systems Arena?
The same approach to innovate in the Online Dating Industry == 16PF5 test or similar to assess personality traits and a new method to calculate similarity between quantized patterns.


What comes after the Social Networking wave?
The Next Big Investment Opportunity on the Internet will be .... Personalization!
Personality Based Recommender Systems and Strict Personality Based Compatibility Matching Engines for serious Online Dating with the normative 16PF5 personality test.
The market remains enormous!!

The next wave of innovation!

What comes after the Social Networking wave?
The Next Big Investment Opportunity on the Internet will be .... Personalization!
Personality Based Recommender Systems and Strict Personality Based Compatibility Matching Engines for serious Online Dating with the normative 16PF5 personality test.
The market remains enormous!!

Personality Based Recommender Systems are the next generation of recommender systems because they perform far better than Behavioural ones (past actions and pattern of personal preferences)
That is the only way to improve recommender systems, to include the personality traits of their users. They need to calculate personality similarity between users but there are different formulas to calculate similarity.
Recommender systems are morphing to ......... compatibility matching engines, as the same used in the Online Dating Industry since years, with low success rates, because they mostly use the Big5 to assess personality and the Pearson correlation coefficient to calculate similarity.
(Personality traits are highly stable in persons over 25 years old to 45 years old)


The entire Online Dating Industry for serious daters in 1st World Countries is a HOAX, performing as a Big Online Casino, with a low effectiveness/efficiency level of their matching algorithms (less than 10%), in the same range as searching by your own.
Actual online dating sites offering compatibility matching methods are only fueled by big marketing budgets and not by serious scientific evidence. No one ( eHarmony, Chemistry, PerfectMatch, PlentyOfFish Chemistry Predictor, MeeticAffinity, Be2, RewardingLove, Parship, True, etc) can prove its matching algorithm can match prospective partners who will have more stable and satisfying relationships than couples matched by chance, astrological destiny, personal preferences, searching on one's own, or other technique as the control group in a peer_reviewed Scientific Paper for the majority (over 90%) of their members.

They are all like placebo, as:
* Actual online dating sites offering compatibility matching methods, when calculating compatibility between prospective mates, have less or at least the same precision as searching on one's own. [in the range of 3 or 4 persons compatible per 1,000 persons screened]
* That is because they use:
a) simplified versions of personality traits, instead of the 16PF5 or similar with the complete inventory (16 variables)
b) inadequate quantitative methods to calculate compatibility between prospective mates.


The Big Five normative personality test is obsolete, it has been proven as an incomplete and incorrect model of personality.
The HEXACO (a.k.a. Big Six) is another oversimplification. Online Dating sites have very big databases, in the range of 20,000,000 (twenty million) profiles, so the BIG 5 model or the HEXACO model are not enough for predictive purposes. That is why I suggest the 16PF5 test instead.

To solve that problem I propose:
1) the 16PF5 or similar normative personality test to measure personality of normal persons over 26 years old interested in serious dating.
No actual online dating site offering compatibility matching methods uses the 16PF5 normative test available in different languages.
2) a new quantitative method to calculate compatibility between prospective mates, based on quantized pattern comparison (part of pattern recognition by correlation)
The value of my algorithm is to achieve far more precision than searching on one's own [in the range of 3 persons compatible per 100,000 persons screened, 100 times better than actual competitors]


WorldWide, there are over 5,000 -five thousand- online dating sites
but no one is using the 16PF5 (or similar) to assess personality of its members!
but no one calculates similarity with a quantized pattern comparison method!
but no one can show Compatibility Distribution Curves to each and every of its members!
but no one is scientifically proven!

The only way to revolutionize the Online Dating Industry is using the 16PF5 normative personality test, available in different languages to assess personality of members, or a proprietary test with exactly the same traits of the 16PF5 and expressing compatibility with eight decimals (needs a quantized pattern comparison method, part of pattern recognition by cross-correlation, to calculate similarity between prospective mates.)
High precision in matching algorithms is precisely the key to open the door and leave the infancy of compatibility testing.


The Teller–Ulam design is the nuclear weapon design concept used in most of the world's multi-megaton-range thermonuclear weapons;  a 1,000 times more powerful than Hiroshima's Little Boy. In most applications the bulk of its destructive energy comes from uranium fission, not hydrogen/deuterium/tritium fusion
Its essential features, which officially remained secret for nearly three decades, are:
1) separation of stages into a triggering "primary" explosive and a much more powerful "secondary" explosive
2) compression of the secondary by X-rays coming from nuclear fission in the primary, a process called the "radiation implosion" of the secondary,
3) heating of the secondary, after cold compression, by a second fission explosion inside the secondary.

The Online Dating Industry needs a very powerful algorithm like the "Teller Ulam design". In this case 100 times more powerful than actual matching algorithms.

Can you guess which is that powerful matching algorithm?

--------------------------
Fernando Ardenghi's List of Firsts:

- First person in the World to say the entire Online Dating Industry in 1st World Countries is a HOAX.
- First person in the World to say many Online Dating sites like eHarmony, PerfectMatch, Chemistry, PlentyOfFish Chemistry Predictor, MeeticAffinity, Parship, Be2 and others are performing as placebo, like patent medicine.
- First person in the World to discover the Online Dating Sound Barrier problem.
- First and Only person in the World to solve the Online Dating Sound Barrier problem.
- First person in the World to suggest the normative 16PF5 test or similar like 15FQ+ to measure personality of daters instead of ipsative tests like PerfectMatch or Chemistry or other normative less powerful tests like the Big Five.
- First person in the World to say Online Dating sites should check if women are taking contraceptive pills or other hormonal therapy.
- First person in the World to reverse engineering several online dating sites offering compatibility matching methods.
- First person in the World to notice Personality Based Recommender Systems are like compatibility matching engines.
- First person in the World to suggest Online Dating sites should show Compatibility Distribution Curves to every and each dater.
- First person in the World to compile research about Theories of Romantic Relationship Development.
- First person in the World to openly say Conferences for the Online Dating Industry like iDate and ODS are rubbish.

STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY by LIFEPROJECT METHOD

WorldWide, there are over 5,000 -five thousand- online dating sites
but no one is using the 16PF5 (or similar) to assess personality of its members!
but no one calculates similarity with a quantized pattern comparison method!
but no one can show Compatibility Distribution Curves to each and every of its members!
but no one is scientifically proven!


Here are some samples from  LIFEPROJECT METHOD

The pattern 6.7.6.8.9.6.7.7.8.7.2.5.8.7.3.4
is 74.79865772% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
5.7.4.8.7.4.5.6.4.6.8.9.6.8.4.4

The pattern 6.7.6.8.9.6.7.7.8.7.2.5.8.7.3.4
is 92.55033557% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
7.7.6.8.8.7.6.5.8.7.4.5.7.7.3.4

The pattern 6.7.6.8.9.6.7.7.8.7.2.5.8.7.3.4
is 88.38926174% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
5.6.4.7.7.5.6.6.7.6.3.4.7.6.2.3

The pattern 6.7.6.8.9.6.7.7.8.7.2.5.8.7.3.4
is 87.58389262% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
7.8.6.9.9.7.8.8.9.8.5.6.9.8.4.5

The pattern 6.7.5.8.8.6.7.7.8.7.4.5.8.7.3.4
is 60.23489933% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
8.9.7.10.10.8.9.9.10.9.6.7.10.9.5.6

The pattern 6.7.5.8.8.6.7.7.8.7.4.5.8.7.3.4
is 68.15436242% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
4.3.7.8.5.4.7.8.7.7.6.8.8.5.7.6

The pattern 6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7
is 63.75838900% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
4.5.4.5.4.5.4.5.4.5.4.5.4.5.4.5

The pattern 6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7
is 41.61073800% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
3.4.3.4.3.4.3.4.3.4.3.4.3.4.3.4

The pattern 6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7.6.7
is 88.59060403% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to
7.8.7.8.7.8.7.8.7.8.7.8.7.8.7.8



High precision in matching algorithms is precisely the key to open the door and leave the infancy of compatibility testing.
It is all about achieving the eighth decimal!
With 8 decimals, you have more precision than any person could achieve by searching on one's own, but the only way to achieve the eighth decimal is using analysis and correlation with quantized patterns.

------------------
What comes after Social Networking?
My bet: The Next Big Investment Opportunity on the Internet will be .... Personalization!
Personality Based Recommender Systems and Strict Personality Based Compatibility Matching Engines for serious Online Dating with the normative 16PF5 personality test. The market remain enormous!!

2 tips for matching algorithms

1) Matching algorithms do not need to be complex or sophisticated, they need to be effective.
2) When you evaluate a matching algorithm for the Online Dating Industry, you FIRST need to estimate its resources consumption, the power calculation it requires.

LIFEPROJECT METHOD is quite simple, fully written in less than 10 A4 pages.
But it is so powerful!

Teller Ulam design and LIFEPROJECT METHOD.

The Tunguska event was an enormously powerful explosion that occurred in what is now Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia, at about 0:14 UT on June 30 1908. The explosion is believed to have been caused by the air burst of a large meteoroid or comet fragment at an altitude of 5–10 kilometres (3–6 mi) above the Earth's surface.
The energy of the blast was nearly 15 megatons of TNT roughly equal to the United States' Castle Bravo thermonuclear bomb tested on March 1, 1954; about 1,000 times more powerful than the nuclear bomb dropped on Hiroshima, Japan (codenamed  Little Boy).

The idea of a thermonuclear fusion bomb ignited by a smaller fission bomb was first proposed by Enrico Fermi to his colleague Edward Teller in 1941 at the start of what would become the Manhattan Project.
Other prominent scientists openly recommended building nuclear bombs more powerful than the standard pure-fission model. Their assumption was that critical mass considerations would limit the potential size of fission explosions, but that a fusion explosion could be as large as its supply of fuel, which has no critical mass limit.
In January 1951, Edward Teller and Stanislaw Ulam invented radiation-powered ablation-drive implosion.
The Teller–Ulam design is the nuclear weapon design concept used in most of the world's multi-megaton-range thermonuclear weapons;  a 1,000 times more powerful than Hiroshima's Little Boy.
Its essential features, officially remained secret for nearly three decades.

LIFEPROJECT METHOD  is like the "Teller Ulam design" for the Online Dating Industry.
In this case 100 times more powerful than actual matching algorithms.

Breaking "the online dating sound barrier" is to achieve at least:
3 most compatible persons in a 100,000 persons database.
12 most compatible persons in a 1,000,000 persons database.
48 most compatible persons in a 10,000,000 persons database.
100 times better than Compatibility Matching Algorithms used by actual online dating sites!

The only way to achieve that is:
- using the 16PF5 normative personality test, available in different languages to assess personality of members, or a proprietary test with exactly the same traits of the 16PF5. The ensemble of the 16PF5 is: 10E16, big number as All World Population is nearly 7.0 * 10E9 (estimated OCT 2011)
- expressing compatibility with eight decimals, like The pattern 6.7.6.8.9.6.7.7.8.7.2.5.8.7.3.4 is 92.55033557%  +/- 0.00000001% similar to the pattern 7.7.6.8.8.7.6.5.8.7.4.5.7.7.3.4
Using a quantized pattern comparison method (part of pattern recognition by cross-correlation) to calculate similarity between prospective mates.

That is the only way to revolutionize the Online Dating Industry.

All other proposals are .............. NOISE

LIFEPROJECT METHOD scoring algorithm

LIFEPROJECT METHOD scoring algorithm: More than 10 years ago I had invented a proprietary method to calculate similarity between quantized patterns.

To my best knowledge, nobody could do or copy something like that.

I had revealed the main matching equation for public scrutiny but not the functions [/CQ/ means Comparison Operator] nor the coefficients [ K01, K02, K03, K04, K05, K06, K07, K08, K09, K10, K11, K12, K13, K14, K15, K16] because I plan to use the algorithm in the online dating site I want to launch, or sell the algorithm or license it to online dating companies.

Why your brain distorts

If you were born and live in the North Hemisphere you are used to see the World Map in Mercator Projection like this


You think North America, Europe and Asia are UP and South America and Oceania are DOWN
Moreover the Mercator projection exaggerates areas far from the equator. For example:
Greenland takes as much area on the map as Africa, when in fact Africa's area is approximately 14 times greater than Greenland.
Alaska takes as much area on the map as Brazil, when Brazil's area is actually more than 5 times that of Alaska.
Finland appears with a greater north-south extent than India, although India's is greater.
Antarctica appears as the biggest continent, although it is actually the fifth in terms of area.

Modern atlases no longer use the Mercator projection for world maps or for areas distant from the equator, preferring other cylindrical projections, or forms of equal-area projection.
See the World Map in a Hobo–Dyer equal-area projection.


See again the World Map in another Hobo–Dyer projection
South America is not the end of the world, it is the beginning of everything.

The same happens with tests used in the Online Dating Industry for compatibility matching. They distort and cannot break "the online dating sound barrier"!!!

* That is because they use:
a) simplified versions of personality traits, instead of the 16PF5 or similar with the complete inventory (16 variables) Since the traits which compose the Big Five model are relatively broad, they are not nearly as predictive and accurate for explaining human behavior as some of the more abundant, specific traits.
b) inadequate quantitative methods to calculate compatibility between prospective mates, like eHarmony which uses Dyadic Adjustment Scale or other sites which use multivariate linear / logistic regression equations o other simple equations.


In compatibility matching methods there are 2 steps:
1) to objectively measure personality traits or other human variables (with the 16PF5 test).
2) to calculate compatibility between prospective mates.

Innovations are not adding more bells and whistles to actual online dating sites.
Breaking "the online dating sound barrier" is to achieve at least:
3 most compatible persons in a 100,000 persons database.
12 most compatible persons in a 1,000,000 persons database.
48 most compatible persons in a 10,000,000 persons database.
100 times better than Compatibility Matching Algorithms used by actual online dating sites!

The only way to achieve that is:
- using the 16PF5 normative personality test, available in different languages to assess personality of members, or a proprietary test with exactly the same traits of the 16PF5. The ensemble of the 16PF5 is: 10E16, big number as All World Population is nearly 6.7 * 10E9
- expressing compatibility with eight decimals, like The pattern 6.7.6.8.9.6.7.7.8.7.2.5.8.7.3.4 is 92.55033557%  +/- 0.00000001% similar to the pattern 7.7.6.8.8.7.6.5.8.7.4.5.7.7.3.4
Using a quantized pattern comparison method (part of pattern recognition by cross-correlation) to calculate similarity between prospective mates. .......guess.... LIFEPROJECT METHOD.

LIFEPROJECT METHOD June 2011 video

El mercado mundial de contactos personales (Spanish version)

A nivel mundial la Industria de Contactos Personales (Online Dating) factura más de 2.000 millones de dólares (Match/Chemistry: 400 millones de dólares anuales, eHarmony: 280 millones de dólares y el grupo Meetic: 180 millones de euros)

Los sitios de citas online (online dating, contactos personales) pueden ser
1.0: potentes motores de búsquedas,
ó
2.0: potentes motores de recomendación bidireccionales (como Match)
ó
3.0: algoritmos de compatibilidad (como eHarmony, MeeticAffinity, Parship, Chemistry, etc).

La mayoría usan modelos de personalidad normativos como el Big5 o modelos propietarios ipsativos (de autodescripción), no hay ninguno que use el test normativo de personalidad 16PF5. Hay más de 5.000 sitios de contactos personales en el mundo pero todos están en el orden de 3 o 4 personas que presentan como "compatibles" por cada 1.000 escaneadas, o sea una muy baja precisión, baja tasa de éxito en formación de parejas estables y felices menor al 10%. Funcionan como si fueran un casino virtual, las personas que logran éxito son una minoría. Además en online dating, el sitio es exitoso si pierde los clientes porque lograron pareja estable, los debe perder de a 2. No tiene repetición de compra pero si recomendación.

En toda Latinoamérica el mercado potencial es enorme, pero sólo hay propuestas de mala calidad. Algunas ya extintas como Pachetes, AlguienAQuienQuerer, Be2, CupidoVirtual de Meetic (asociado a MercadoLibre); y las vigentes como Match, TeBusco y Zonacitas están en decadencia desde hace años porque son propuestas del tipo 1.0, motores de búsqueda; gerenciadas por marketineros que no saben cómo innovar ni cuáles son las últimas tendencias en la Industria de Online Dating. Según Alexa sólo el 1.3% de todo el tráfico de Match/Chemistry proviene de Argentina, y eso ocurre desde hace años. Zonacitas tiene un "traffic rank" de 517 en Argentina, un rebote de más del 30% y 10 páginasvistas por usuario.

Hay otros jugadores como EasyDate que quieren venir a ofrecer su propuesta a Latinoamérica, además de otros proyectos en desarrollo como DatingArgentina, DatingChile, OasisActive AmorenLinea. CitasWeb intenta resucitar en Facebook.
En Brasil ParPerfeito a Dic2009 tenía sólo 76.000 clientes pagos. En OCT 2010 se lanzó eHarmony Brasil con membresía gratuita por 3 meses pero no tiene la tracción que se esperaba, está decayendo.
Los sitios de contactos personales de uso gratuito como OKCupid y PlentyOfFish sólo sirven para convertir usuarios en clientes de sitios de contactos pagos como Chemistry y eHarmony una vez que esos usuarios se cansan emocionalmente de perder tiempo en sitios gratuitos, llenos de perfiles falsos e inactivos. Más del 90% de la publicidad que se muestra en sitios de contactos gratuitos es de publicidad de sitios de contactos pagos.

Desde 2003 que he estado testeando varios sitios de contactos personales usando perfiles falsos como marcadores.
Todos los sitios de contactos personales pagos a nivel mundial están estancados y algunos en decadencia porque sólo están respaldados por grandes presupuestos de marketing y no por evidencia científica seria. No hay ninguno que pueda demostrar -en un paper con referato y usando el método de doble_ciego- que el algoritmo de compatibilidad que ofrecen, puede formar parejas que vayan a tener una estabilidad y una satisfacción mayor que las parejas formadas por búsqueda propia, por azar, por destino astrológico o con otro método como grupo de control. La única forma de innovar es aprovechando los últimos descubrimientos científicos sobre teorías de relaciones románticas con compromiso.

La Dra. Helen Fisher (antropóloga) descubrió durante 2004/2005 usando resonancia magnética para escanear el cerebro de personas locamente enamoradas, que existen 4 circuitos cerebrales básicos relacionados con el nivel de hormonas y la etapa INICIAL de relaciones románticas. El de la serotonina, el de la dopamina, el de los estrógenos y el de la testosterona. Estos 4 circuitos cerebrales se combinan para dar 3 sistemas, el de la lujuria, el del amor_romántico y el del compromiso (apego). Su trabajo científico se aprovechó en un sitio de contactos personales (citas en la web) denominado Chemistry con relativo/poco éxito hasta ahora porque no ha podido demostrar en forma fehaciente que su método pueda formar parejas que van a tener una estabilidad y una satisfacción mayor que las parejas formadas por búsqueda propia como grupo de control.

eHarmony es un sitio de contactos personales serios basado en valores Cristianos y en similitud de personalidad, orientado principalmente a países angloparlantes (Estados Unidos, Canadá, Australia y Gran Bretaña) aunque lanzaron la versión Brasileña sin éxito y pienzan lanzar en Japón. La personalidad se mide con el Big5 (grandes 5 factores de personalidad) y la similitud se calcula usando Escala de Ajuste Diádico (DAS) inventada por Spanier en 1976. Tiene una tasa de éxito de menos del 10%. El problema no está en la honestidad de las personas que toman el test, sino en la forma de calcular similitud con DAS y en medir la personalidad con Big5 y no con el 16PF5.

ScientificMatch, Basisnote, Genepartner (LittleHint), Clicck y los que ofrecen DNA matching, son un fraude porque están basados en el experimento de la remera sudada (T-shit experiment) donde un grupo de mujeres calificaban olores a sudor de varones como atractivos, neutros o repulsivos. En algunos casos las mujeres se sentían atraídas por el olor a sudor de un varón que tuviera un Complejo Principal de Histocompatibilidad (MHC) lo más diferente al de ellas (no atraídas por el varón, sino por el olor a sudor del varón impregnado en una camiseta) Fue refutado por Alvergne & Lummaa en "Does the contraceptive pill alter mate choice in humans?" 2009 Las mujeres que tienen sus períodos en forma normal presentan preferencias de selección de pareja de corto (en la fase ovulatoria) y largo plazo; mientras que las mujeres que usan tratamientos anticonceptivos hormonales (que simulan la concentración de hormonas del embarazo), anulan su preferencia de selección de pareja de corto plazo, buscan pareja estable, eligen compañeros similares a ellas en MHC

Los contactos de prensa de Match, Zonacitas, TeBusco, etc, ya tienen toda una "sanata" de estadísticas y de frases hechas para contestarle al periodismo. Están gerenciados por marketineros, que no son especialistas en online dating, ni pueden innovar.
Al chequear el ranking y el tráfico de esos sitios usando Alexa se puede ver que no son tan populares como dicen y si alguien crea perfiles falsos de varones y mujeres va a poder probar la dinámica de los sitos, cómo funcionan en realidad, va a descubrir que hay perfiles fichados desde hace años pero que son inactivos, que online dating permite buscar rápidamente a la persona que vos querés encontrar pero lo más probable que esa persona no exista o que no quiera saber nada de vos porque no son compatibles. Que en un sitio 1.0, un motor de búsqueda, el 20% de los varones más activos son los que mandan el 80% de los mensajes a las mujeres, las mujeres generalmente nunca inician los contactos, sólo esperan ser contactadas, que las fotos de las mujeres están retocadas, hermoseadas, que los perfiles están maquillados usando autoalabanzas (los varones dicen ser más altos de lo que en realidad son y las mujeres dicen ser más bellas y flacas de lo que en realidad son).
Sitios como Pachetes y AlquienAQuienQuerer fracasaron porque ofrecían la misma propuesta actualmente vigente, no pudieron innovar, no se diferenciaban en nada de competidores, que en online dating cuando la base de datos se duplica, los costos operativos se triplican o cuatriplican, que muy pocos son los usuarios activos (que usan el sitio con asiduidad o que lo usaron en los últimos 3 meses) y menos los que pagan, que la estrategia de marketing es atraer usuarios prospectivos, tratar de convertirlos en clientes pagos y luego reternerlos indefinidamente con renovación automática si pagaron con tarjeta de crédito [Be2 colapsó por ese motivo, por automatic rebilling, estuvo bajo investigación por fraude en Europa], que las empresas no dan de baja los perfiles antiguos, los dejan como señuelos para seguir atrayendo potenciales clientes pagos, que si la campaña de marketing la hace un varón pensando como varón, el sitio atrae varones y espanta mujeres, en menos de 6 meses colapsa solo porque no tiene perfiles femeninos.
Hace años que se sabe que aproximadamente el 30% de las personas que usan online dating son casadas o están en pareja y quieren una aventura (flirteo) o conseguir una pareja mejor.

Legislación: Sólo en Japón y Australia para algunos casos se exige fotocopia de la licencia de conducir para demostrar que el usuario/cliente es mayor de 18 años.

Normas de Calidad: El sitio Indio Shaadi es el único que posee calidad total en cuanto soporte y atención al cliente según ISO9001:2008

Las propuestas como speeddating, citas rápidas, está científicamente probado por los Dres. Kurzban y Weeden (2005) que investigaron en HurryDate, que la mayoría de los participantes van con ciertas pretensiones que se desvanecen apenas se conocen personalmente y es sólo para relaciones románticas de corto plazo, para una gratificación instantánea.
Los Dr. Eastwick & Finkel (2008) descubrieron que las personas a menudo tienen pretensiones de preferencias de pareja que no son compatibles con sus opciones en la vida real.
En 2010 fue replicado y ampliado ese descubrimiento por el Dr. Lars Penke y colaboradores
"Why Mate Choices are not as Reciprocal as we Assume: The Role of Personality, Flirting and Physical Attractiveness / ¿Por qué la selección de pareja no es tan recíproca como suponemos?: El papel de la personalidad, coqueteo y el atractivo físico" (2010)
Los resultados muestran que las elecciones reales de pareja no son recíprocas, aunque las personas esperan de ser correspondidas con sus elecciones.
"From Dating to Mating and Relating: Predictors of Initial and Long-Term Outcomes of Speed-Dating in a Community Sample. De Citas a formar parejas y de éstas al compromiso. Predictores de resultados iniciales y a largo plazo en citas rápidas en una muestra de Alemania" (2010)
Un estudio de 1 año de duración entre participantes de speeddating encontró, la probabilidad de formar pareja era de 6% y que esa pareja fuera estable de 4% y dependía del interés de largo plazo en las mujeres y del corto plazo en los varones. Los 3 minutos para tomar decisiones en speeddating no eran suficientes para descubrir todos los factores de similitud entre los prospectivos cónyuges.

Match también es un sitio 1.0, pero la opción Cupido Diario (Daily5) de Match en Argentina, es equivalente a Chemistry en Estados Unidos (allá son sitios separados, Match y Chemistry, pero en el resto del mundo Chemistry se renombra como Daily5 y es un apéndice de Match)
Chemistry es 3.0, un algoritmo de compatibilidad, que divide a las personas en Explorers / Exploradores, Builders / Tradicionales, Directors / Líderes y Negotiatiors / Negociadores y combinaciones de ellas. Hasta ahora sólo demostró que los Explorers buscan a los Explorers para formar parejas, los Builders a otros Builders y los Directors a los Negotiatiors y viceversa, pero no pudo demostrar que puede formar parejas estables con alta satisfacción y estabilidad en un paper científico con referato.

El sitio de contactos personales mejor visto hasta ahora es eHarmony  pero tampoco pudo demostrar que puede formar parejas estables con alta satisfacción y estabilidad en un paper científico con referato.

Los últimos trabajos científicos con referato, siguen la línea de SIMILITUD DE PERSONALIDAD entre los integrantes de una pareja para un matrimonio exitoso. Dos investigadores alemanes, Rammstedt & Schupp ( "Sólo los congruentes sobreviven. Similitud de personalidad en parejas" / "Only the congruent survive – Personality similarities in couples" 2008) analizaron 6909 parejas adultas representativas de la población Alemana, de diferentes edades y con varios años de matrimonio y descubrieron que sólo una gran similitud de personalidad entre los integrantes de una pareja es lo que sustenta la estabilidad de la misma y la satisfacción de sus integrantes; o sea las relaciones románticas de largo plazo con compromiso son exitosas si los integrantes de la pareja poseen una gran similitud de personalidad entre sí.
Hay otros trabajos científicos que muestran lo mismo (Charania & Ickes, 2009 / Rammstedt & Schupp, 2008 / Barelds & Dijkstra, 2008 / McCrae, Martin, Hrebícková, Urbánek, Boomsma et al. 2008 y otros) Siempre sucede que las personas con características opuestas se atraen, pero luego de un tiempo, se atacan entre sí (Buckwalter, 2005)

Muy pocas personas en el mundo están trabajando en mejorar los sitios de contactos personales, porque la mejora que hay que hacer no es en un 10% o en un 15%, sino en 100 veces mejor lo que ofrecen los competidores actuales en Estados Unidos, Canadá y Europa. Es romper una "barrera de sonido", porque no es realmente una mejora (improvement) sino una innovación (innovation). Lo que traen a la Argentina y LatinoAmérica son imitaciones de menor calidad de sitios de contactos personales (imitations) como CitasWeb, ZonaCitas, TeBusco, OasisActive, AmorenLinea, DatingArgentina, etc

Por eso mi blog se llama "Breaking the Online Dating Sound Barrier" y presento mi propio proyecto de online dating LIFEPROJECT METHOD ( http://vator.tv/c/13a5 )

La única forma de innovar en el mercado de online dating es aprovechando los últimos descubrimientos científicos sobre teorías de relaciones románticas con compromiso, sólo una gran similitud de personalidad entre los cónyuges prospectivos es la clave para formación de parejas estables y felices.

Hay varias formas de medir personalidad y varias formas de calcular similitud entre patrones de personalidad.
Mi propio proyecto propone usar el test normativo de personalidad 16PF5 para medir personalidad.
El test normativo 16PF5 codifica la personalidad con 16 variables cuantizadas que toman valores de 1 a 10, por eso el conjunto de todas las posibilidades válidas es de 10E16 y la población mundial es de 6.7*10E9 Toda la población mundial no llega a ser 1 micro parte del ensemble del 16PF5. Muy pocas personas en el mundo están en condiciones de diseñar un método cuantitativo para comparar miles o millones de patrones cuantizados de personalidad entre sí con alta precisión, con por lo menos 8 decimales; sabiendo que es sólo una gran similitud de personalidad la clave para formación de parejas estables y felices, y eso es lo que inventé hace años y estoy tratando de lanzar al mercado, sin exito todavía.

The Similarity Trilogy

The Similarity Trilogy

all 9s and all 10s

Pattern
9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9
is ?9.261???97% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to pattern
9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9.9


Pattern
10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10
is ??.348??329% +/- 0.00000001%
similar to pattern
10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10

Compatibility Distribution curves

I use "personality similarity distribution" for LIFEPROJECT METHOD because it offers strict personality similarity using the 16PF5 and the quantitative method I had invented but other proposals should use "Compatibility Distribution"

Y axis: number of persons per interval (women in this case)
X axis: 100 intervals, from 1 to 100, meaning (n-1).00000000% to (n-1).99999999% of personality similarity with man#1 in interval n.

Eg: In the personality similarity distribution of man#1 compared to ~100,000 women database
There are 1,320 women with 46.00000000% to 46.99999999% of personality similarity with man#1 in interval 47.
There are 3,370 women with 72.00000000% to 72.99999999% of personality similarity with man#1 in interval 73.
There are 500 women with 84.00000000% to 84.99999999% of personality similarity with man#1 in interval 85.